Quote from: justinlamode on June 21, 2025, 05:33:01 PM

I have been observing something of recent especially after the end of the European season where most favorite teams are not playing again. I realise that anytime I get this motivation to gamble, any game I predict will fail and I will actually bet them and lose. But whenever I'm reluctant to gamble and therefore resisted the urge to gamble, everything I would have played will enter. For instance, from yesternight I had this strong urge to gamble so I opened my laptop to check the fixtures for today, I ended up choosing three Japanese matched to bet 3+, a very decent amount was vomited to the parlay of 8 odds and one of the teams messed up the match. I decided that I was going to try a second bet in of two matches from Norway with 3+ and 4+, something I wrote down but I found myself procrastinating and reluctant hence I missed betting the game. Just checking live score now and everything has worked for the bet I did not place.

Now I'm confused why I will always miss betting the one that will work but never miss betting the matched that will fail, it has happened countless times. Does it mean there are forces somewhere making this to happen? Does superstitious belief work in gambling?

Not any better then guessing.

Reason you are paying attention to the missed bets that would have won, is because they would have made money for you. It's called confirmation bias and you would totally ignore it if you had lost, but you were actually looking for confirmation where you were right, unconsciously hoping you you would have been right. So it weights more to you then being wrong. Does that make sense?

I don't see what harm it does to bet on superstition, because most our decisions are done on gut feel, which is not far from trusting superstition. But same rule applies with that as well as anything: Don't bet more then you can lose.