I have pretty high doubts that we will get within less than 25% of the 200-WMA in 2025, and right now the 200-WMA is nearly $49k and it is moving up by around $40-ish per day ($35 to $55 per day)... so by the time that BTC prices go down (if they did), the 200-WMA would continue to go up, which almost makes it possible to assert that sub $70k will never be reached again... or at least it is 50/50 bettable... and I would take that bet, if you are interested for 50/50.
Dear JJG, if you remember my
reply from Mar 01, 2025. I said, in gambling winner is the one who knows when to stop.
Luckily we have ceasefire in conflict b/w Iran and Israel, Oil is down and Bitcoin is going up once again.
Regarding 2026. Sure it is possible (but not a given) that the BTC price will touch upon or even go below the 200-WMA, yet it seems quite likely that we are going to be starting 2026 with a 200-WMA that is right around a minimum of $70k and we will be ending 2026 with likely a 200-WMA of right around $95k.. .. .. So sure right now it still seems quite possible that we coudl be visiting or revising sub $100k prices, unless we are lucky enough to experience some kinds of upcoming BTC price runs that can drag the 200-WMA to higher levels.
There's gotta be some potential bettables in there.
To be very honest JJG I don't do much tech analysis about Bitcoin, I just buy and hodl but not indefinitely. So far this strategy has given me a lot as I installed Solar System last year and now I don't pay electricity bill, I bought new car this year and all that's possible because of Bitcoin. Enjoy the Bitcoin profit as much as you can.