Again if you don't want to accumulate during any dip since you have reached overaccumulation and you have started selling I will advise you engage in selling only your profit, what do I mean, if you are holding 10 Bitcoin and the current price is $107k and you reached your overaccumulation stage when the price $98k what you will do is selling only what has added to the $98k.
You are going to measure whether you reached overaccumulation status based on spot price?
So how are you going to manage that?
Changes in spot price is going to knock you out of overaccumulation status?
Sure, it is possible to have such a system, but you likely need to figure out some way of dealing with volatility.
I think that part of the reason that I like to assess overaccumulation based on the 200-WMA (and/or bottom prices) is because the 200-WMA has tended to continuously move up, and also the spot price is usually above the 200-WMA... so that gives a bit of additional cushion to attempt to deal with likely inevitable BTC price volatility.
I believe that it is not impossible to assess that you have reached overaccumuation status based on spot prices, but you have to figure out how to make sure that you are not falling in and out of overaccumulation status merely based on 5-10% price movements... so there likely needs to be some built in ways of dealing with such volatility, especially if you are largely planning to stay in bitcoin rather than put your money into inferior assets, such as the dollar, some other fiat or some dollar denominated asset that is also inevitably losing value.. and it seems that part of the reason to be attempting to value wealth and to keep wealth in bitcoin is because it seems that over the longer term it is holding its value better than fiat, even accounting for inflation and/or seemingly inevitable fiat debasement.
JJG the point I was trying to make there was that when someone has reached overaccumulation stage and he is ready to start selling his Bitcoin he should be doing that once the price doubled, I was finding it difficult to give a more simple explanation that was why I used that example in trying to explain when the price doubled one can sell but I didn't get the explanation very well.
Those that has reached overaccumulation stage can always wait till the price double before they sell so they won't finish up there Bitcoin investment, that means even in your overaccumulation stage you still have to be patient in selling in other to maintain and keep your investment going, so you can decide to sell 3%, 5%, 8% or 10% when ever the price of your Bitcoin doubles the choice is all yours.
It is true that as an investor you have the full right to sell your Bitcoin anyhow and in which way you wish to but if you want to keep your investment going that strategy will be of great help, is very bad to build an investment to a great height and still end up running it dry at once, that is not how an investment should be done.
And yes assessing overaccumulation based on the 200-WMA is very good, by above statement was the message I was trying to pass and not how to access one overaccumulation stage.
I think there's a thread you created and you gave good explanation of this matter.