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And AI won't be able to spot all this things out, and that is why if you know about a particular sport very well you will win more than you lose gambling on that sport.
What I believe is that, AI isn't that good when it comes to prediction in general.
I've seen a post on Facebook months ago where AI tried to predict who will be the NBA Champion in the next 50 years, and in that prediction, it shows that the Boston Celtics will be the champion again after winning one last year. Obviously, that didn't happen, so because of that, I don't trust AI when it comes to prediction at all.
When it comes to sports betting, for me human knowledge is always better than AI. Learn how to analyze those teams if you want to make money on sports betting. Of course, winning isn't certain, but your chances will be higher when you analyze. Like what you said OP, AI don't know what's currently happening on those teams, so it will make an analyzation based on it's past performances, and we know that past performance doesn't equate to present and future performances.
Overall, AI can help you to analyze, but not for prediction IMO. Don't rely on AI when it comes to predicting. Rely on AI based on the data that it shows, and from there, you can analyze even better with the data that the AI will be showing to you.