Quote from: Smartvirus on June 08, 2025, 01:49:47 PM

Quote from: mid9tclaw02 on April 26, 2025, 02:18:54 PM

The price of Bitcoin goes up when people least expect it. And it moves down when mainstream are expecting it to blast off. It requires more of patience

If this was actually it, then you could say it goes with a pattern, a pattern that when reversed, you would be able to track the Bitcoin price action on the market. This being that, if it goes up when you least expect and dumps when you expect it to pump, then a reverse approach would be, having to hodl when you least it to pump because, that’s when it’s sure to pump and prepare yourself to buy even more when you expect it to pump since, it’s going to dump and give you a better buying position. Just a reverse approach towards your initial thoughts and expectations.

I can see why the idea of reverse thinking is interesting. When we feel beaten down by the markets, it’s easy to want to try extreme solutions and make a wholesale reversal of the whole thing. However, we have to understand that the markets like Bitcoin are not held to any of our individual logic, let alone all of market logic which is generally irrelevant when you really consider market shocks. Recognizing patterns is important, but that doesn’t obligate us to act to reverse every pattern. What we need to do is rethink how we judge the way we look at data, read sentiment, or manage risk.

This is not to state that it is healthy in the long term to do everything in an emotional way, or even to do everything in a reverse way either. The reality is that we have to be honest with ourselves, and sometimes it is not the pattern that is wrong, but rather how we are treating the information we have in a blanket manner. All your concepts may be perfectly logical, but it isn’t a foundation if we are just playing with presumptions.