Still, I doubt Elon's party will have some success in the long term. Political duopoly being kept by both the Democrat and Republican party is strong and it would take much to convince people to give their trust to Musk as a reliable politician.
It's too early to say Elon's party will fail if we know what his real goals are. It's no coincidence that Republicans have expressed concern about Elon's new party, while Democrats seem to care little. And it's no coincidence that Elon took aim at the lawmakers who voted against Trump's spending bill.
Elon's goal is for his party to run for congressional seats in the 2026 midterm elections and win some seats. That's his goal, because once the American party wins some seats in Congress, Elon may have the opportunity to block, veto bills that he believes will harm the US economy like Trump's OBBBA bill.
Winning a few seats in Congress is not an impossible task.
It is not a impossible task, but you have keep in mind that if he serious about founding his own political party and have their own congress people candidates to run for the mid term elections then he will have all the media machinery against him, the democrat party is already critic against him and then he will have the Republican party against him as well, that means his political message will real completely on social media and Twitter/X, which he owns.
Anyways, the political scenario in the USA is already deeply controlled by their duopoly on politics, that even if Musk managed to get some seats in the congress and in the Senate, it would be quite unprecedented as nothing like that would have never been imagined to happen in the modern history of the country. Both the Democrat party and the Republican party have tightly held power and elections in the lastest decades, they are not willing to allow that to change any time soon.
The other side of that is, the people might recognize the American Party as the thing that it might be... a Libertarian Party with power. In that case, we could easily see a complete change in the whole government... back to the freedom government that it used to be.
