[edited out]
Hardly 'depressing' as 2518 days is about 6.89 years.
In order to get to 1mil from here in 2518 days you need 38%/year appreciation.
Saylor predicts 30% yearly appreciation during the next 20 years, so the first 7 years (6.89 to be exact) very well may be at 38% per year average.
https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/strategys-michael-saylor-says-bitcoin-will-grow-30-year-next-20-years-could-he-be-right
On July 12 2020 bitcoin was $9589, so since then it appreciated 12.25X with an average of 65% per annum (approximately).
On July 12, 2015, bitcoin was $284.65, so since then it appreciated 413.21X with an average of 83% per annum (approximately).
As you can see, there was a smaller per annum appreciation in the last 5 years vs the prior 5 (specifically, appreciation between July 12 2015 and July 12, 2020 was 102% per annum).
Therefore, 38% per annum in the next 7 years or about strikes me as quite reasonable.
I sent you an Smerit, even though I don't agree.. and I am not even sure if my level of disagreement would be bettable.
Like I said, we could go up into the 7 digits and then come back into the 6 digits, so it could take a while to determine if the bet is won.. o
Or maybe I could bet you that in the next 6.89 years or maybe even in the next 7 years, bitcoin will have had spent less than 2,518 days in 6 digits (which is presuming that it would spend a decent number of those other days, perhaps more than a few hundred in 7 digits). So then the bet would be resolved 7 years from now. I am not sure what the oracle for resolving the bet would be, if there is a reliable website or way to track.