Quote from: BADecker on July 14, 2025, 09:25:07 PM

Quote from: paxmao on July 14, 2025, 08:31:40 PM

Quote from: icebar on July 14, 2025, 08:20:01 PM

Recently, Trump threat to Russia to stop the war (Ukraine-Russia) with in 50 days. Trump threatened them that if they cannot reach an agreement to stop the war within this period, then 100% tariffs will be imposed on their products. The important thing now is how much this tariff will affect Russia. We know that since the war started, Russia has been restricted in various ways and there are also bans on the export of several of their products. If again 100% tariff is imposed on this country, will it have any effect on stopping the war?

In 2024, Russia's total trade was about $3 billion. Whereas in 2021, US imports from Russia were $29 billion. Now, if 100% trade tariffs were imposed on $3 billion trade, would Russia take it seriously ‍and stop the war?

https://talkimg.com/images/2025/07/14/UAwozj.jpeg

You would need to have a look at WHAT does the US import from Ruzzia. For example, It is largely irrelevant if you put tariffs on Ruzzian oil because the market is global and someone else buys (and thanks you for the discount), if you put it on agricultural products... same, Ruzzia sells to others...

And guess what... one of the major imports are fertilisers and Trump cannot afford to have the agricultural sector of the US against him due to higher prices.

The strategy to put economic pressure is quite difficult unless you are willing to harm yourself in the process.

But the important part is that many countries often export oil to the US after they have purchased it from Russia.

Cool

I guess it is the other side reason why @paxmao said unless Trump also want to harm himself and that of the entire US sectors in demands or in need of the Russian products.
So if increase of tarrif is imposed on the Russians then it would spike market price increase of the Russians.

So when other countries buys, they will be buying on a very high price which when supplying to the US will also affect them (US) because vendors also have to make profits regardless that they bought in a very high price due to the influence of the Trumps tarrif system.
So directly and indirectly since Russians do have global essential productions, the aggression of the 100% imposed tarrif will also affect the global markets.

Trump should better think twice before he put the global market on high pressure.
Let us also be realistic and logical, if Russian is forced to end the war without a dialogue to settle the disputes with Ukraine, i fear because Russia might have no option than to use their nuclear weapon because it seems Trump tends to manipulate their economy so that they won't be sufficient in funding the continuity of the war.