With the economic and geopolitical developments around the world, and how the market depends on news for growth. I tend to agree with your point that the $200k goal is very difficult to achieve. But as we all know, anything can happen and especially with bitcoin, it always surprises us. So, it is good to be cautious, but there is no need to be too pessimistic because the future is unpredictable and anything is possible.


It seems like you are investing more in altcoins than bitcoin, right? If so, you need to know one thing, altcoins only grow when bitcoin grows. If you are not bullish on bitcoin, don't expect altcoins to grow.
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Absolutely, I feel the same way. $200K this year is starting to look like a long shot with everything going on globally. Markets are just way too sensitive to headlines right now, and Bitcoin hasn't shown the kind of momentum we need for a breakout like that.
That said, BTC has a way of flipping the script when you least expect it. So while I’m managing my expectations, I’m still keeping some optimism alive especially with the halving effects potentially still playing out.
And yet, on the altcoin side, it's painful watching them bleed. But you're right altcoin seasons don't happen in a vacuum. If BTC isn’t moving up, most altcoins just drift or dump. The correlation is still strong, so betting on altcoins without bullish conviction on BTC can be risky.