Next scheduled rescrape ... never
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Last scraped
Scraped on 03/08/2025, 17:05:46 UTC
[edited out]
I tried to reformat your data in table form, to improve readability, and came up with this. Something doesn't seem right though. There is one column missing (spot price, which is expected, because future spot prices are unknown), and also some cells missing (presumably relating to the 4-year cycles -- or half-cycles -- based on their positions). I don't know if that is what you intended to show, or if something is missing...

Sorry that my table creating skills are not good... and yeah, your table shows the information correctly.. in the correct columns.. even though surely it might be ambiguous what each of the columns mean... but you put the data below each of the columns in the right places.. .which surely should make the information contained therein to be more understandable... and yeah, I don't claim to have any genius projections, but instead just an attempt to have a grounding of the projection that is based on current and historical movements of the 200-WMA and then both project that into the future and then to project how any of us might attempt to apply that to our situation and/or our goals into the future.

[Edited out]
Here is your second table, which, for some odd reason, could not be added to my previous post.

Yeah.. sorry about that.  I had even started to edit it before I saw your better formatted rendition of the table... So I realized that the missing data in the future projected spot price was messing up the readability, so initially I decided to fill it in with "xxx," but then after further reflection, I thought that it might be more appropriate to just project the BTC spot price for any moment of time as being expected to be right around 30% higher than the 200-WMA.. which I suppose that would thereby be an expectation that the BTC spot price is dragging up the 200-WMA somewhere in the ballpark of slightly less than 8% per year, which I would consider to be quite conservative for the earlier years, but maybe it becomes overly optimistic if we project those same kinds of numbers 50 years or more into the future.... even though for now, it is probably a good enough ballpark figure to consider that the BTC spot price tends to be around (or at least?) 30% higher than the 200-WMA..

Maybe I could make a proposal to you, AlcoHoDL, that we could completely update themy fuck you status chart to put all of it from December 2010 until right around 2074-ish, and I would put the update in my investment ideas thread I could post it here or I could PM you the info..  The forum seems to limit how much of that data can be placed into any one post.  

In my Excel spreadsheet, I have projected that information out to 2157 (probably last substantively revised over a year ago - even though, ever 6 months I have been putting in the actual data for the actual BTC spot price on that date and the actual place where the 200WMA is at on that date), even though surely the information in the chart becomes less and less tethered to reality the further out that are attempts to project it out into the future.  My latest attempt at posting the chart (which fillippone helped in the formatting) seemed that it ONLY allowed me to post data up until 2074 before reaching the limit.  Of course, if folks really want to see the projections between 2074 and 2157, we could put that information in two posts, to the extent anyone gives any shits about the information between 2074 and 2157.
Original archived Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
Scraped on 03/08/2025, 17:01:12 UTC
[edited out]
I tried to reformat your data in table form, to improve readability, and came up with this. Something doesn't seem right though. There is one column missing (spot price, which is expected, because future spot prices are unknown), and also some cells missing (presumably relating to the 4-year cycles -- or half-cycles -- based on their positions). I don't know if that is what you intended to show, or if something is missing...

Sorry that my table creating skills are not good... and yeah, your table shows the information correctly.. in the correct columns.. even though surely it might be ambiguous what each of the columns mean... but you put the data below each of the columns in the right places.. .which surely should make the information contained therein to be more understandable... and yeah, I don't claim to have any genius projections, but instead just an attempt to have a grounding of the projection that is based on current and historical movements of the 200-WMA and then both project that into the future and then to project how any of us might attempt to apply that to our situation and/or our goals into the future.

[Edited out]
Here is your second table, which, for some odd reason, could not be added to my previous post.

Yeah.. sorry about that.  I had even started to edit it before I saw your better formatted rendition of the table... So I realized that the missing data in the future projected spot price was messing up the readability, so initially I decided to fill it in with "xxx," but then after further reflection, I thought that it might be more appropriate to just project the BTC spot price for any moment of time as being expected to be right around 30% higher than the 200-WMA.. which I suppose that would thereby be an expectation that the BTC spot price is dragging up the 200-WMA somewhere in the ballpark of slightly less than 8% per year, which I would consider to be quite conservative for the earlier years, but maybe it becomes overly optimistic if we project those same kinds of numbers 50 years or more into the future.... even though for now, it is probably a good enough ballpark figure to consider that the BTC spot price tends to be around (or at least?) 30% higher than the 200-WMA..

Maybe I could make a proposal to you, AlcoHoDL, that we could completely update the fuck you status chart to put all of it from December 2010 until right around 2074-ish.  The forum seems to limit how much of that data can be placed into any one post.  In my Excel spreadsheet, I have projected that information out to 2157 (probably last substantively revised over a year ago - even though, ever 6 months I have been putting in the actual data for the actual BTC spot price on that date and the actual place where the 200WMA is at on that date), even though surely the information in the chart becomes less and less tethered to reality the further out that are attempts to project it out into the future.