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Scraped on 03/08/2025, 18:26:43 UTC
Consistency is then measured by the volume of bets over a given period of time; it's just that.

..//... finding a way to maintain a winning percentage high enough to be profitable in sports betting, something above break-even, at least around a 53% win rate.

Well, that's the thing: you set short-term goals, and the reality is that consistency is measured in the long term. In the short term, we can have that consistency, but in the long term, it will be peaks. Consistency isn't measured in a short period.

Then, if things aren't going well, well, the long term solves that. And in my case, the volume of bets is the key. Many people find it works by placing 3 bets, but I find it works by placing 20, and that's difficult, so in my case, my consistency is based on maintaining a high volume of bets.

From there, wanting to have a 53% WR is a different story. My success is measured between 3% and 5%, and as long as I'm there, I'm consistent, but you have to understand that I'm average, often below and sometimes a little above.

The important thing is that the more years I calculate, the more consistent I am, in the aforementioned percentage value.

 The point is, you can't make the mistake of consistently targeting WR +53% over long periods.

They exist, but they disappear. In short, this isn't common sense, it's statistics. Common sense would have you betting on odds less than or equal to @1.53 (Your idea bet = < @1.553), and that will make you a long-term loser. You have to consistently place bets with odds greater than that value.

(*Please, this comment is not meant to be advice, on the contrary, it is just IMHO type advice)
: )
Original archived Re: Use simple logic to win in sports betting..
Scraped on 03/08/2025, 18:22:13 UTC
Consistency is then measured by the volume of bets over a given period of time; it's just that.

..//... finding a way to maintain a winning percentage high enough to be profitable in sports betting, something above break-even, at least around a 53% win rate.

Well, that's the thing: you set short-term goals, and the reality is that consistency is measured in the long term. In the short term, we can have that consistency, but in the long term, it will be peaks. Consistency isn't measured in a short period.

Then, if things aren't going well, well, the long term solves that. And in my case, the volume of bets is the key. Many people find it works by placing 3 bets, but I find it works by placing 20, and that's difficult, so in my case, my consistency is based on maintaining a high volume of bets.

From there, wanting to have a 53% WR is a different story. My success is measured between 3% and 5%, and as long as I'm there, I'm consistent, but you have to understand that I'm average, often below and sometimes a little above.

The important thing is that the more years I calculate, the more consistent I am, in the aforementioned percentage value.

 The point is, you can't make the mistake of consistently targeting WR +53% over long periods.

They exist, but they disappear. In short, this isn't common sense, it's statistics. Common sense would have you betting on odds less than or equal to @1.53 (Your idea bet = < @1.5), and that will make you a long-term loser. You have to consistently place bets with odds greater than that value.

(*Please, this comment is not meant to be advice, on the contrary, it is just IMHO type advice)
: )