Quote from: ruykeri on Today at 08:16:23 AM

Quote from: Proty on August 05, 2025, 06:47:17 PM

Quote from: noormcs5 on August 05, 2025, 05:41:26 PM

Quote from: Miles2006 on August 05, 2025, 04:21:58 PM

Timing bitcoin market are mostly done by traders, they spend more time studying when to buy and sell looking for quick profit by selling their bitcoin in loss. Investors who watch bitcoin market waiting for the dip sounds like a waste of time because they’re missing out by holding fiat whereby value depreciate, it’s better they buy the dip now else they might never see the previous dip although even if previous dip price range will come they’ve already wasted their time.

I think it is really hard to time the Bitcoin market. I know people from previous cycles, who want to invest in bitcoin and looking for the perfect entry point but they kept waiting. Similarly, people try to find the exact top for exiting the markets, but they always end up holding for too long, because it's hard for retail to time the market. The best thing retail investors should do is to DCA at all levels, whether they are buying or selling bitcoin.

To me, it is only the institutions that can time the market, as they are the ones who know when to pump and dump the market. In fact, they have the money to move the market according to their will.

It is not really easy to time the market as most person thinks. Timing the market because of waiting for a desire dip which may or may not occur can make an investor to miss market opportunities. So DCA strategy is a very good strategy that is stress free and the pressure of always timing the market is not there. This strategy allows an investor to make informed decision and to be able to build a good portfolio in bitcoin in the long run.
I disagree with what you said about the fact that only institutions can time the market, even for institutions it is still hard for them to speculate or predict exactly the market direction. There is no institution that have control over the price of bitcoin and as such they will only try to speculate the market direction.

I completely agree with you. The two things you said here are really important for those who are investing in Bitcoin. In fact, we should not worry about the price of Bitcoin going to dip. Investors should forget the word DIP. Those who have an intention towards dip cannot invest for an ultimate long time. Those who think of buying Bitcoin at DIP, they sell it when the price is comparatively high. And those who follow DCA and invest in Bitcoin for a long time, they do not worry about the price being low or high. From discretionary income, they just continue their accumulation To achieve the desired goal. And if invest by following DCA, there is no external pressure and even if anyone get into financial problems, an emergency fund reserve fund is ready to turn around from it. And many people confuse Bitcoin with other altcoins, that's why they think that big companies can accurately predict the future price of Bitcoin. In fact, no one can accurately predict the future price of Bitcoin. However, based on past experience and current demand, it can only be assumed that Bitcoin will be much more valuable in the future than it is now.

DIP means buying when the price drops. In my eyes, the two characteristics of DIP are one beneficial and the other harmful. But for whom is it beneficial and for whom is it harmful? Basically those who use DIP in the right way and see it as an opportunity.

A new investor. Whose monthly income is limited. He has no plan. He thinks that if the price drops, he will profit if he buys. So he invests after hearing about DIP. After buying, he sees that the price has dropped further and he is scared and sells it. Again, when he sees that the price has increased, he thinks that it would have been better to buy earlier. Thus, he falls behind and loses the opportunity. Thus, there is no continuity in his investment, but he often faces losses. If he had invested a part of his income through DCA in the beginning, he would not have had to face so many worries and losses. If he had bought regularly through DCA, the market fluctuations would not have affected him, so his investment would have been planned, regular and stress-free. Therefore, the intention of buying DIP out of greed and selling it when the price rises is very risky. Especially for new investors, I do not support DIP.

Now let's come to how is DIP beneficial i.e. like an opportunity. In my opinion DIP is profitable with the right strategy. But it is not suitable for everyone. Suppose a person invests $1,000 per month in DCA strategy. He budgets his discretionary income in such a way that after all expenses, emergency funds and investments, he keeps some money in DIP fund. Suppose,He sees that the market has dipped 20 percent in July. He invested a total of $1,200 in July. Here $1000 is his regular monthly DCA investment and an additional $200 from DIP fund. And if there is no DIP next month, he invests only $1000 as DCA. Here, DIP has provided him with an additional opportunity without any pressure or obligation. In addition to continuing his main investment regularly in DCA strategy, when he has financial capacity and the market situation is favorable, he takes advantage of additional opportunities by using DIP. In this, he continues his regular investment and he does not take any pressure from market fluctuations. DIP is a strategy that not everyone can use and should not do.

In my opinion, if there is financial capacity, those who are able to keep extra money in hand in addition to conducting DCA in a planned manner can take DIP as an opportunity. DIP is not mandatory. It is effective for capable, experienced and aware investors. So I think DIP is an opportunity in the hands of the wise and a danger in the hands of the inexperienced.