Of course your investment portion is going to be doing fine. I doubt that you are really benefiting as much as you have convinced yourself into believing with the trading portion, and you likely could reduce that trading portion to much smaller numbers, perhaps less than 10% of the size of your bitcoin investment stash, or maybe you could go a bit higher with the percent that you allow for fucking around.. but not 50%.. that is too much... since it seems to be a likely losing proposition the way you seem to be currently doing it and just assuming that you are benefiting from it...even though you seem to be fantasizing otherwise with your likely sales through the years that would have had been way better off to just let them ride in bitcoin (and to compound in value.. .) .
Well said, and to be honest I can't disagree but fully agree with whatever you said in the post. Although, I've been taking some profits here and there from trading but surely they reward from accumulating Bitcoin and holding it for years is always going to win no matter if I make whatever from trading. DCA+DIP buying is safe as compared to trading but to be honest I've done DCA with the trading part as well when my trades went negative, however to be honest, Bitcoin always recovers and that's the best thing about it.
Many of us were here when Bitcoin was in its $20k's and I remember when it went to $40k some people got surprised while some people had firm beliefs that it could do much better in years than that $40k or $50k whatsoever. And, the later ones were perfectly right because the ones who bought the crazy dip of previous bear run which took Bitcoin's price all the way down to $16k's were the people who really had saved money for that DIP. I believe most of people who are into investing had started their accumulation when Bitcoin went to $28k or below that, and those type of dips will not come now unless someone is just dreaming.
I'm pretty sure the market will be bearish after a few months and then there's chance that Bitcoin might go down again but not to the levels of $20k's or not even to $50k's again but possibly there's chance that it might dip back to $70k's and that's going to be the best place to buy the dips again and accumulate more than what one can at the current market value of Bitcoin when it's over $115k. I know there's much possibility that Bitcoin might not go below $100k's again even in the worst phase of the bear market but again the ones who're into investing know the power of patience and they really wait for the right moment and right opportunity. I really want to see Bitcoin at $200k in this cycle and if that happens then I'll be very happy but even then I won't be selling that 50% which I've accumulated with the help of DCA+DIP buying. In fact I won't be selling those for at least 10 to 20 years depending on my patience or value of Bitcoin after 10 years.
Let's say if in 10 years Bitcoin reaches $5M per coin then surely I'll sell 20-30% of my stash, and by then I might not need to do any type of DCA or dip buying but as long as Bitcoin is under $1M there's always going to be opportunity of buying the dips. I'm not talking about small dips but the major dips, I don't really give much attention to small dips as market can recover from those dips within days to weeks but mostly I wait for major dips that take place once in a week rarely, sometimes once in a month, and most probably once in 2-4 months, and that approach is a working approach. I know there's no alternative of what you've said, if I had followed your advice and strategy the way you shared here then that might have given me more accumulation and profits, but I hope in future or from now on I will think about going for DCA+DIP buying for long term holding and let that 50% for trading as those are enough for my trading needs and going 100% into investing from now own can be much helpful for me.