It's not so much about quantity, but instead that you seemed to have had been proclaiming to change your accumulation approach based on our current dip situation.

Within reason I can understand that a person who is still accumulating may try to time the buys, so for example, if he is buying every week, then he tries to catch the dips for each of the weeks.

On the other hand, if the guy who is still accumulating is holding back value to buy on dips and not buying regularly, then that seems another story.

I understand that some guys do not have great cashflows, so they might not have a lot of money to work with, yet there shouldn't necessarily be an assumption that any guy is particularly rich even if some guys might have had concluded that they had gotten through their accumulation status at earlier times.. so in that regard, I am trying to just respond to your statement.. and maybe I find it a bit problematic if 1) guys might still be accumulating bitcoin regularly but stating that they are buying more on dips, and/or 2) some of these same guys might be buying now with expectations that they are going to sell if the BTC price doubles... since they are thinking about buying back cheaper

But even if we go with your forum registration date and we might presume that you are getting close to six years accumulating bitcoin, there could have had been times that you were able to accumulate a lot and then hang onto your coins rather than selling them with expectations to buy back cheaper...

Even if you had been accumulating bitcoin for nearly the past 6 years at $50 per week, you might have had invested around $7k into bitcoin by now and you might have around 0.2 BTC.. which would not be a bad place to be, but steill seems that more bitcoin might need to continue to be accumulated.. and yeah, I cannot see any justification for selling even though there may be preferences to attempt to be aggressive now. and then maybe less aggressive if BTC prices were to get to $200k or more within the coming 3-6 months?.. .. It is kind of difficult to say, since having a BTC price run in this calendar year seems like it could be possible, but then it starts to feel strange to be expecting the run might continue in 2026 - well that is if any current run continues to feel like it is somewhat suppressed.


I know you do seem to think about these matters differently from me, even though of course you are the one who has to live with the consequences and you seem to believe that buying and selling at the same time is a healthy way to treat your BTC accumulation journey..


Doesn't that sound a bit strange to you?  You are selling while are still accumulating.

And, sure maybe that will work for you since you are planning to sell with an expectation of being able to buy back more with the same money that you received from selling it.

Personally, I don't consider that to be a good strategy for guys who are still accumulating, even though I understand that guys do it and attempt to do it, and some of them are able to do o.k. with such a strategy and others would have had been better off to just stay focused on BTC accumulation.

You are taking chances, but it is possible that it could work out for you.  Perhaps.

Yet at the same time, if a guy is still in BTC accumulation phase, he is more assured to continue to increase his stash if he just stays focused on buying and perhaps to find money from other places when he wants to buy things.. . but yeah opinions will differ regarding these kinds of matters regarding the hows and the amounts to play with when trying to catch waves.


That part is good... but you are ONLY a temporary grower, since you never saw a 60% price increase that did not get you sufficiently excited to nearly blow your whole wadd (referring to selling whatever gains you had gotten).. which is part of the reason that maybe you should be grilled like WatChe (or was it another member?)?

Here is grilling question. During this cycle (within the next 3-9 months-ish):  "how much of your BTC stash that you have today (and maybe still have at $120k?) do you expect to still have when (if?) the BTC price reaches $200k, $250k?  $300k?  $400k? Would you have any of  your stack left if the BTC price were to reach $500k?

I already gave my answer... which was that I probably would still have close to 97% of my stash if the BTC price reaches $500k in the coming 3-9 months, yet at the same time, I am not sure if I should be proud of my own situation, since I probably have to figure out ways to try to sell more if the BTC price were to go up to such price levels this cycle.

Each of us should have some ballpark ideas about where our stash would be under such scenarios that could happen, and in the past 9-ish months, I have changed my quantities at least 3 times, and I still have ONLY gotten to about 3% sales all the way up to $500k.. and I am not really proud of that even though that seems to be how my system is mostly working out.


That is a pretty strong assertion, which I think that many folks are thinking that MSTR has pretty good chances of being added to the S&P 500 this week.. so yeah, it would be good to know your sources for your theory that "everybody knows," if any.

Leonard Cohen probably has better sources than you (RIP Leonard)


It is good to have an alternative theory, yet I had not heard that miners are selling.

I have heard  that OGs are selling. which is even a questionable theory why OGs would need to sell so many coins.  I do like to the paper coins theory personally, though I don't really have any evidence for that.. yet sometimes momentum can just be exacerbated by FUD to get newer entrance scared to buy and/or to sell what they got.. and the FUD will work at least for a while.. and in that regard, momentum can draw further momentum.. for a while..


Well, that part is correct.  We have ONLY had about 14% drop so far, so such a drop does not even seem very BIG in the whole scheme of things... yet every cycle we have decently sized drops from time to time, and guys do end up getting emotional about the drops, so there is nothing new in regards to some guys seeming to overreact.. and get all worked up about it and proclaim bitcoin is dead. the bull market is over..  blah blah blah.


That is true.

MSTR seems to be converting into more of a financial (BTC specific - which might not even be a "recognized" category yet?) company rather than an IT company.


This makes more sense as compared to your initial "everybody knows" claim. I am sure guys are not very confidence about your claims in recent times, for "reasons."


Oh gawd... 

You want to come back and play hard ball?  That did not fare too well for you last time.

But hey whatever, try again. I thought everyone is being pretty nice to you, considering your recent history.. or even lack of history, since you seemed to have taken liberties to delete a good number of your recent titillating (if "we" might be so generous?) posts in this thread.


Deflect much?

Last I checked a person who provides seemingly contrary claims should provide some evidence for those claims rather than just making such claims and seeing what happens.

Seems to be similar to your earlier issue, except your earlier issue involved making shit up and post it as if it were your own.... still not quite a settled matter (or any kind of slam dunk in your favor since you also chose to destroy evidence (if I might be so bold? hahahahaha).


I get the impression that BTCETFInvestor does not consider himself any kind of a newbie in the traditional sense of newbie whose actions can be reviewed, since he likely exists in such a fantasy way as to perceive himself as a wrongly persecuted victim... which is part of the reason that he still seems to have a chip on his shoulder rather than apologizing to several of us (and perhaps the whole thread?) for his earlier conduct.