Next scheduled rescrape ... in 5 days
Version 1
Last scraped
Scraped on 09/09/2025, 01:46:38 UTC
[edited out]
The first week of September could be better for BTC.... ... for September, and I think October and November onwards will be same from 2022 as well... also, maybe(hehehe...)
You seem to have had gotten your years wrong.
If you understand that bitcoin has been in a 4-year cycle pattern for the past 16-ish years (sure it is not necessarily precise, but it is how many of us consider the BTC price movements and/or dynamics).
Accordingly, since we are in 2025, then we are looking at 2021 as the place where we are at and not 2022..... since 2022 was pattern upon a downward year that came after the 2021 top, and yeah, the pattern may well not be exact, but if you are looking at 2022 you are in the wrong part of the cycle since 2022 goes along with 2026 looking forward and it goes along with 2018 looking back.
By the way, is that your chart with the various squigglies? or did you get such chart from someone else?
Don't get me wrong. There are some guys who are considering that the 4- year cycle could break at any time, yet it seems to be better to counting the dynamics of the 4-year cycle rather than making up some theory that makes little sense... especially 2022 was totally a down year and we spent 2023, 2024 and this year slowly (and sometimes not so slowly) grinding up from the 2022 lows.. and so therefore questions relate to the extent to which the cycle might be ending or if we might have some kind of a blow off top or potentially otherwise deviating from the four-year cycle by going into some kind of an extended uppity period that drags in to 2026 - which many people consider to still be possible, but it still does not put us into 2022 based on actual dynamics of where we are at, and 2022 we ended up going below the 200-WMA for right around 16 months, and ever since about early 2024 we have been significantly above the 200-WMA.. including currently - nearly 120% above the 200-WMA.
Wouldn't' you consider the dynamics to be different right now since we are 120%-ish above the 200-WMA as compared to September 5, 2022 (the date circled on your chart, when we were about 14% below the 200-WMA?
What you are saying is confusing, and you are proclaiming to aspire towards being a bitcoin trader. Right?
Well, it seems that Saylor is an example to follow for every institution:
That is categorically incorrect.
Saylor is a representative of a very large company that is getting bigger and bigger due to his using other people's money to buy bitcoin for himself and his company... and perhaps creating a honey pot for Uncle Sam to take.
Quote
Michael Saylor’s Strategy purchases 638,460 Bitcoin, valued at $ 217 million.
A SEC filing indicates that Strategy primarily funded the purchase by selling MSTR shares.
Strategy’s stock is up 2.54% on TradingView, trading near last week’s close of $335.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, announced another weekly Bitcoin purchase after missing out on the S&P 500 last week. Bitcoin has bounced back above $112,000 today, with MSTR experiencing a 2.54% increase over the last 24 hours.
A SEC filing indicates that Strategy primarily funded the purchase by selling MSTR shares.
Strategy’s stock is up 2.54% on TradingView, trading near last week’s close of $335.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, announced another weekly Bitcoin purchase after missing out on the S&P 500 last week. Bitcoin has bounced back above $112,000 today, with MSTR experiencing a 2.54% increase over the last 24 hours.
Nice buy though, for his company and his shareholders.
Original archived Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
Scraped on 09/09/2025, 01:41:20 UTC
[edited out]
The first week of September could be better for BTC.... just like in September 2022, Although things are different now.the signs are not good....... for September, and I think October and November onwards will be same from 2022 as well... also, maybe(hehehe...)
You seem to have had gotten your years wrong.
If you understand that bitcoin has been in a 4-year cycle pattern for the past 16-ish years (sure it is not necessarily precise, but it is how many of us consider the BTC price movements and/or dynamics).
Accordingly, since we are in 2025, then we are looking at 2021 as the place where we are at and not 2022..... since 2022 was pattern upon a downward year that came after the 2021 top, and yeah, the pattern may well not be exact, but if you are looking at 2022 you are in the wrong part of the cycle since 2022 goes along with 2026 looking forward and it goes along with 2018 looking back.
By the way, is that your chart with the various squigglies? or did you get such chart from someone else?
Don't get me wrong. There are some guys who are considering that the 4- year cycle could break at any time, yet it seems to be better to counting the dynamics of the 4-year cycle rather than making up some theory that makes little sense... especially 2022 was totally a down year and we spent 2023, 2024 and this year slowly (and sometimes not so slowly) grinding up from the 2022 lows.. and so therefore questions relate to the extent to which the cycle might be ending or if we might have some kind of a blow off top or potentially otherwise deviating from the four-year cycle by going into some kind of an extended uppity period that drags in to 2026 - which many people consider to still be possible, but it still does not put us into 2022 based on actual dynamics of where we are at, and 2022 we ended up going below the 200-WMA for right around 16 months, and ever since about early 2024 we have been significantly above the 200-WMA.. including currently - nearly 120% above the 200-WMA.
Wouldn't' you consider the dynamics to be different right now since we are 120%-ish above the 200-WMA as compared to September 5, 2022 (the date circled on your chart, when we were about 14% below the 200-WMA?
What you are saying is confusing, and you are proclaiming to aspire towards being a bitcoin trader. Right?
Well, it seems that Saylor is an example to follow for every institution:
That is categorically incorrect.
Saylor is a representative of a very large company that is getting bigger and bigger due to his using other people's money to buy bitcoin for himself and his company... and perhaps creating a honey pot for Uncle Sam to take.
Quote
Michael Saylor’s Strategy purchases 638,460 Bitcoin, valued at $ 217 million.
A SEC filing indicates that Strategy primarily funded the purchase by selling MSTR shares.
Strategy’s stock is up 2.54% on TradingView, trading near last week’s close of $335.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, announced another weekly Bitcoin purchase after missing out on the S&P 500 last week. Bitcoin has bounced back above $112,000 today, with MSTR experiencing a 2.54% increase over the last 24 hours.
A SEC filing indicates that Strategy primarily funded the purchase by selling MSTR shares.
Strategy’s stock is up 2.54% on TradingView, trading near last week’s close of $335.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, announced another weekly Bitcoin purchase after missing out on the S&P 500 last week. Bitcoin has bounced back above $112,000 today, with MSTR experiencing a 2.54% increase over the last 24 hours.
Nice buy though, for his company and his shareholders.