Does not matter where they come from or how far they flew. Drone ends up in western Ukraine, gets jammed, goes Poland. This is a posibility of among others.
And BTW some of them do go for hundreds of km unchecked or pass by mere saturation of defences, plus and the ones in Poland carried an extra fuel "bag" instead of warheads.
before.. [Occam's razor] the simplest logical version based on available information usually turns out to be the truth
Then it is a provocation. But Occam's does not always work with Ruzzia - sometimes the most abstract "reason" is their "reason".
the 'Gerbera' drones only have normal fuel load to do ~200m(300km) or... ~400m(600km) "with extra fuelbag"
now run the math.. see how far you get.. literally
definitely not russia -> east to west ukraine-> southeast to north poland
hint: your math/estimates are yet again a HUGE stretch of imagination. so much they cant even be called estimates
Does not matter where they come from
emphasis: it very much does matter. because if there is gossip/congecture to say:
a. it came from ukraine and mistakenly due to jamming ended up all over poland
b. came from baltic sea and just danced around poland
c. came from belarus and danced around poland
can cause alot of different international diplomacy issues depending on which narrative goes viral
for instance (c) can end up trying to bring belarus and poland into aggressiveness with each other
for instance (a) poland see it as a pre-emptive poke from russia to declare war on poland
for instance (b) oh well mistakes happen, no threat