Those 4 years cycle was already broken. The current price movement is already doesn’t follow that cycle imho.
Not true. Just put the charts one over the other and the price still largely follows the trend from the previous cycle. September was not a good month, the following months were good.
Based on the second cycle, there was a short term with this date and then the price surge after next few months. It's not yet broken, to be precise, we don't know what will happen in the next few months.
The next months have to be bearish for the cycle to be broken or the other options is that we don't enter a new bear market in 2026. The second thing is an emerging possibility with the ETFs and institutional investors. That would be a positive change though.