Quote from: BitHodlers on Today at 07:38:16 PM

Quote from: dimonstration on Today at 01:36:39 PM

Those 4 years cycle was already broken. The current price movement is already doesn’t follow that cycle imho.

Not true. Just put the charts one over the other and the price still largely follows the trend from the previous cycle. September was not a good month, the following months were good.

Quote from: Jawhead999 on Today at 07:22:46 PM

Based on the second cycle, there was a short term with this date and then the price surge after next few months. It's not yet broken, to be precise, we don't know what will happen in the next few months.

The next months have to be bearish for the cycle to be broken or the other options is that we don't enter a new bear market in 2026. The second thing is an emerging possibility with the ETFs and institutional investors. That would be a positive change though.

I think I will have to agree with you, it's not yet broken, although we have a new ATH prior to the halving, we still need to see what the next three months will bring. And if we are already in the bear market and hit the peak at $123k-$124k then that could be the end of the bull run.

So it was just like in 2017, we had the ATH at December, then 2021 when we had it at October.

But this year, it's much earlier because of the pre-halving ATH, but still follows the 4 year cycle.