Quote from: windpath on May 21, 2014, 12:24:57 AM

Looking forward to a 2-4 block surge when our luck comes back

Seriously though, over time it does even out, and generally p2pool comes out on top.

Leaving the pool during a long downturn (like 3-5 days, we are at 3 now) is like throwing the baby out with the bath water.

Luck, like anything else in life, is bound to change.

After a long streak of bad luck we typically see a long streak of _ _ _ _ luck

Yeah, I know. I've never been particularly troubled by the pool variance. Really have just shrugged off the pool's long downturns and try not to get *too* excited when we find 2+ blocks per day.

My concerns are over share finding. I'm finding that far more difficult to diagnose. Not sure if my poor profitability over the past 20 days is just variance related or something more nefarious. I think I'll stick around P2Pool solely for the challenge of figuring things out.

Sadly my sole Antminer S1 does not generate shares fast enough to satisfy my data driven nature. In the past week I've had an orphan rate of 14%, yet the previous week I had an orphan rate of 3.5%. Unfortunately, by the time I get a statistically significant data set to work with the S1 will be relegated to the scrapheap.

The simple, and somewhat tempting, solution is to buy 9 more of them.