Quote from: Luror on June 20, 2014, 07:56:23 PM

Quote from: natri on June 20, 2014, 07:36:44 PM

Quote from: Luror on June 20, 2014, 07:12:02 PM

But you said you made only 500 rolls? Or did you mean some bigger test? You need more rolls to get 3rd and 4th prizes (at least 1250-5000).

That last statement ("I've never rolled more than 9993 on any of my multiplier or regular rolls on neither faucet") I referred to all of my plays on either freebitco.in and freedoge.co.in which total way over 2000 rolls so by calculating 1-(9993/10000)^2000+ the probability should be 75%+.

You are forgetting there's also possible to roll "0" (probability is also 1/20000), so it's a little less 1-(1/20000+9993/10000)^2000 ~ 73%

Doesn't change the number much though

Well, yeah. When it comes to large numbers, statistics shall prevail

I will check more thoroughly into it when I have some spare time. Gonna post my results here.