My bear-masked estimates are
LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 40%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 60%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 70%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 80%
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 = 30%
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 5%
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 1%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 = 0% (for practical purposes)
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
Is there more than one Jorge??
I also had a set of bull-masked probabilities. And I prefixed them with something like "what the heck, everybody is playing, why not me too".
And I refused to bet on those probabilities at the time, too.
BTC was $457 that day. Just imagine Jorge how much money you would have made if you bought then! Its still not too late, there are plenty of tickets available for the BTC ride of a lifetime!!