Quote from: AnonyMint on September 05, 2014, 11:12:33 AM

Cross-posting...

Quote from: AnonyMint on September 05, 2014, 10:19:29 AM

I also see much confirmation that Bitcoin is not being adopted by most of those who hear about it

I am much more experienced than you in analyzing market demographics. I knew the following intuitively before I even Googled to verify it.

Bitcoin is nearing 6 years old. The World Wide Web was launched to the public-at-large in 1993. By the 6-7th year, the dot.com bubble had a capitalization that was 183% of the USA GDP!!!

You are picking arbitrary dates. You are picking your www date as "launched to the public-at-large" but picking your Bitcoin date from the genesis block. A equally valid start date for www would be: "In 1989, while working at CERN, Tim Berners-Lee invented a network-based implementation of the hypertext concept. By releasing his invention to public use, he ensured the technology would become widespread.", or even Gopher or the creation of arpa-net itself.

But it would be more reasonable to say that such comparisons are useless. You can compare such things broadly but to expect equivalent adoption trajectories is just silly.

Your supposed experience caused you to completely miss the Bitcoin bull market of 2012/2013 IIRC so your crystal-ball has exactly zero credibility, even though some of your arguments -- that past exponential does not indicate future performance and your revised adoption graph is a reasonable fit -- have merit standing on their own. And even more tellingly you seem to be unable to internalize your mistake because you persist in imagining that your reputation based arguments ("I am much more experienced in statistics and market demographics, I contributed to CSS, etc") have any value whatsoever in this forum.