mmmkay, if we assume that initial bankroll of casino (u) and of mateonl (v) are both finite, with the above notations and assumptions, the probability we're actually looking for (what is the probability of winning 600btc or more with betting 60k times 1btc @49.5%?) is P[S>600 | vu for some j] are not directly related to the above quantity...

Btw for this type of calculation, due to the nature of normal law, usual tools precision is only about 7-8 decimals. Indeed, when I plugged in the more precise numbers (for stdev etc), Mathematica returns P = 0.

Quote from: Cluster2k on September 10, 2014, 01:20:32 PM

(...) http://www.themerrymonk.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/theres-a-chance.jpeg

Of course there's a chance ! .. but you have bigger chance of dying on your way to buy an Euromillion ticket (.. than to win the jackpot). Rip to all those bastards who died their way to the shop!.. that's why I feel much "safer" with online gambling ;P

LOL.. yea not funny for the victims :// But I am amazed by the accuracy of the calculations ;P

Quote from: wayshegoes on September 10, 2014, 02:38:32 PM

What's the probability of completely anonymous developers stealing money that people basically gave to them?

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