Risto only said that there was a 4-8% likelihood this coin wouldn't live next month, that's not the same as BCX wouldn't attack. BCX could still attack but the coin may live on after that..
I am not convinced even he knew what random variable he was computing. You can try to quote him to correct my understanding, but when I read it the first time in private, I got confused. Perhaps I was tired.
And I don't remember it being carefully worded to make it clear he wasn't saying only 4 - 8% chance to be worried about BCX. Seemed to me to be saying, "never mind BCX".
(this soap opera is all about politics?)
What do you personally think are the chances of a coin killer attack? And second, did you sell a percentage of your stash?
I am quite an insider in the situation, since I belong to the remedy team, and have communicated with all the main actors. I cannot evaluate the tech, but I know the turns of the events.
I currently give a 92-96% chance that Cryptonote will live to see the next month
As a result, I believe that currently the market is too bearish.
Here you go.