Quote from: noggin-scratcher on October 10, 2014, 11:29:19 AM

I've come to really dislike the Flash Return Rate. I'll try and be articulate about why...

The problem as I see it, is that it's currently the only option for offering swaps at a variable rate, and the only option to offer automatically at a rate that adjusts (somewhat) to market conditions. If you want to be fairly hands-off and automated about things, it's kind of the only game in town. It's normally nowhere near an optimal rate to be offering at - being either too high when rates are decreasing and everyone jumps in front of it, or far too low when rates have headed back up (see also: right now), but without any other auto-rate options it gets heavily used.

So we get, most of the time, an enormous wall of offers all placed at the single FRR, making it very difficult for the rate to rise higher - the FRR keeps slipping down as the average diminishes, until there's enough pressure to chew through it all at once (or possibly by 30-day swaps being taken over the head of the FRR-wall) and the rate suddenly spikes upwards, dragging the FRR reluctantly upward with it.

So that's my thesis - FRR is a magnet for a giant heap of offers from those who don't have the free time required for manual management, or who want to avoid being stuck in a poorly placed fixed-rate swap, and its effect on the market is to produce that weird sawtooth pattern in swap rates, with sharp increases followed by slow deteriorations. I really wish there were better options for an automated rate. Or even just more options so as to spread the pile out a bit more. If we could set offers at a fixed offset away from the FRR, or have fixed-rate offers that are automatically placed at a certain 'depth' into the book of offers, or have a tracker rate that's slightly more responsive (a weighted moving average of recent fixed-rate swaps rather than a simple average rate?)... then I would be so happy.

I second that, never a big fan of FRR.

Btw, USD swap dropped quite a bit ......