Quote from: Tazza on October 15, 2014, 11:04:05 AM

Quote from: pekatete on October 15, 2014, 10:36:10 AM

Quote from: Sir Alan on October 15, 2014, 10:24:37 AM

Have you noticed how nobody complains when we have a run of good luck, but when it goes tits-up for a couple of days all the accusations and conspiracy theories start coming out of the woodwork? Happens every time - so does the return to normal performance, if there is such a thing.

If somebody complained of good luck, that would be strange; on the other hand, it is perfectly normal to complain of bad luck (and that in any field of life, not just bitcoin pool luck!)

Now if you care to take some time and explain to me what exactly your point was, that would be nice (lucky if you like).

Though not worded the best, his point was that every time a run of bad luck comes along people - particularly those new to mining - will spout off as though it's unusual and crap on about it being 'fishy' among other things, while only a few weeks prior thinking they have the expertise to predict when a block will be found based off a few prior days when luck was good.

I agree with him. Ignorance is no excuse under the law, nor should it be on here with several hundred previous pages of which maybe 5-10% are people utterly astonished that luck can go down as well as up.

Dude, don't talk like that.

I mentioned more than I could care to count "Depending on luck." Don't be nor talk in such condescending tones, PLEASE. I could have responding to you another way that would accomplish nothing but disrespectful communications between the two of us and waste both of our time.

Did I or did I not explain the numbers in order for two particular pools (Slush and GHash) needed to achieve 100% LUCK? I do believe the word "LUCK" was mentioned several times in my posts. I did not DARE say they WILL find that many blocks. So, don't put words in my mouth and try to make a mockery of me.

Yes, I may be a newbie, but that doesn't mean I cannot use data to determine a pools "100 % LUCK FACTOR." I want to call you so many names now for misrepresenting me that I find it hard to hold back. However, I'm going to hold back to avoid taking away from our discussion. Just don't be rude and make proclamations that have no merit.

I have many posts that said how many blocks a pool would need to find in order to achieve 100% LUCK and NEVER PREDICTED HOW MANY BLOCKS THEY ACTUALLY WILL FIND.

Here is an example:

Slush is averaging right at 8 PH/s TOTAL hashing power. At present difficulty, that is approximately 5 hours 10 minutes time for each block found. To be at 100% Luck for the week [while maintaining a consistent 8 PH/s] we would need to find [24 hours divided by 5.16666667 hours] = 4.64516129 blocks each day during that week. Again, that's to maintain 100% Luck.

[Slush] 4.64516129 blocks x .01452471 average shares with 4.67 TH/s = 0.06746962 BTC average each day. That would be 2.02408860 BTC in 30 days (1 month).

GHash is averaging right at 60 PH/s TOTAL hashing power. At present difficulty, that is approximately 41 minutes 21 seconds for each block found. To be at 100% Luck for the week [while maintaining a consistent 60 PH/s] they would need to find [24 hours divided by .68775 hours] = 34.8964013 blocks each day during that week. Again, that's to maintain 100% Luck.

EDIT: CORRECTION MADE TO GHASH ON AVERAGE SHARES, WHICH CHANGES ALL NUMBERS

[GHash] 34.8964013 blocks x .00193933 average shares with 4.67 TH/s = 0.066767564 BTC average each day. That would be 2.03026914 BTC in 30 days (1 month). ALSO, one also gets bonus alt coins as well. Such as NMC and others. It's a bonus all the way. Not sure how well those coins are doing and their value related to BTC. Haven't really looked into THAT part of it deep enough yet.

So, chill out please...