Quote from: dmwardjr on October 23, 2014, 11:47:01 PM

Quote from: MrTeal on October 23, 2014, 07:11:54 PM

Quote from: dmwardjr on October 23, 2014, 06:13:23 PM

How is it that "1 Day Luck" was at 52% at about the 11th hour into this block and now it is at 104% at the 15th hour into this same block?

Are we finding blocks that we are not seeing [two more] that would send us to 104% for 1 Day Luck?

If someone tries to say 104% is for the last 24 hour period, they are wrong by that calculation as well.

The luck went up because the 19 hour block 326328 dropped off the 24 chart. The luck doesn't include the current block, so it's not updated in realtime. I believe it is the pool luck for the 24 hours preceding the start of the current block, but I'm not 100% sure on that.
Hence why in the previous discussion on difficulty why I said I wasn't sure with Slush. The calculation for luck as difficulty/shares is trivially easy, but it's not immediately apparent what timeframe slush looks at since it's not updated in realtime.

No, it does not make sense after looking at it more.

You said 24 hours "preceding the start of the current block."

The current block at that time was the one I high lighted in blue. We were 15 hours into it when I posted this in the forum.

Count the hours before that block by just looking at when the block was found [high lighted in green from the 19 hour block and the 7 hour 50 minute block from date 10/21/2014 to 10/22/2014. THAT is when the block was FOUND for each of those blocks. The 16 hour 26 minute block was found well into 20/23/2014 [almost a full 48 hours from that 19 hour block.

ALSO: 24 hours from the beginning of that block in discussion where the luck changed from 52% to 104% is highlighted in purple.

22997   2014-10-23 19:42:49   16:26:51   111496217152   101036274 0.01998294   326661   25.15691386   79 confirmations left
22996   2014-10-23 03:15:58   2:00:10   13659371794   12445010 0.02250698   326559   25.04462995   confirmed
22995   2014-10-23 01:15:48   5:08:14   34443220190   31684740 0.02213125   326547   25.13387705   confirmed
22994   2014-10-22 20:07:34   7:50:27   52866271563   48021070 0.02191315   326516   25.11536340   confirmed
22993   2014-10-22 12:17:07   9:04:42   60590855696   56001130 0.02321977   326459   25.04656126   confirmed
22992   2014-10-22 03:12:25   7:11:35   49118198933   44347412 0.02230260   326403   25.08423240   confirmed
22991   2014-10-21 20:00:50   2:36:33   17929014931   15894990 0.02178437   326341   25.17831095   confirmed
22990   2014-10-21 17:24:17   19:05:23   131276931588   117224096 0.02225403   326328   25.15150823   confirmed

Again, you said 24 hours (1 day - as in 1 Day Luck) preceding the start of the current block. If that is the case, you simply go by WHEN the block prior to that one was found: 2014-10-23 03:15:58   2:00:10. Make note it is the 23rd Day of October.

24 hours before that block would have fallen on the 22nd day of October for the block found 2014-10-22 03:12:25.

So, NO, it still does not make sense.

Sorry, if fishy things would not occur in math [pretty much a universal language] then those who participate would not think something fishy is going on.

People can criticize me all they want to. I learn fast and I analyze everything. If I ever see what I think is an error, I ask questions instead of being herded around like sheep.

That's just me.

I'm sure what I'm typing right now is being analyzed by moderators. The moderators are the ones I'm concerned about. They are the shepherds and we are the sheep.

Any problems with me asking questions?

You would be asking questions if you have experienced things I have experienced.

For instance. The other night I navigated over to BTCGuild. All of a sudden my fan in my laptop starts blowing real hard to do some serious cooling. I'm like, that's not good. So, I went to my activity monitor in my Mac and saw BTC Guild in Safari was using 99% of my CPU. WHY? I believe it was to use my laptop to hash.

I send the owner of the guild a PM telling him about it and 10 to 15 minutes later it stops.

Too much fishy crap going on around here. Well, the owner of the guild is a moderator on here. I never get a response to the PM I sent. The CPU usage just stops and it hasn't occurred anymore.

So, what would you think if you were me?

I'm not one to be herded around like sheep.

I ask questions...

Hmm... Interesting. While your BTCGuild conspiracy theory is silly, you're right on the block. That would also agree more with my previous observations that the difficulty only seems to update after a block is found.
Something else happened in the time period you're talking about though. After block 326591 the difficulty updated. That was in the middle of that long block, so would explain the out of sequence update.

Alternately, why not just get all the data and look through it. Slush publishes all the data, so you can double check this all yourself if you want.