Quote from: kleineaap on November 02, 2014, 01:40:05 AM

Quote from: Cyrax89721 on November 01, 2014, 11:42:10 PM

Why does everybody keep assuming all high rollers are AK? There is more than one person with hundreds of BTC, you know.

True. From what I can sense, he is not AKcoinminer.
I don't even think he's a miner at all.

First of all, I think AK lost everything he had. He still says he had other accounts on profit, on many sites, but I think those profits eventually went to his main PD account and led to his disgrace.

Second, this is a max profit flat betting (sorry if I'm not correct on the max bet, but I can't publicly find PD limits). He is searching for the famous gambler's fallacy that will allow him to roll waiting for a streak. And its upcoming unexpected variance on the long.
He's actually closer to nakowa, the famous JD game changer, except way less crazy. AK never bet like that.

Huffle knows when to stop, when to pause, and when to keep going - not always, but I'll get to that.
If he has a bad session, he goes away. Because he plays a 4x bet, at least lately, he's allowed to mainly risk profits, if he hits them.
For every winning bet he gets, there are two chances to go further with the same bet only risking profit gains.. If he wins one of the two, he makes 6,5k. Winning both is 13k USD. Nice, right?
After that the tree expands, bringing him to an absolutely impressive run.

While risking profits he hits what a 4x bet session can do. Losing quite a lot in a few bets only to get back with an impressive payback if he hits a streak.

But he also gets to hit a bad run of 8 to 9 reds, which is around 100 BTC (three hundred fucking k). Then he pauses only to resume what he knows it's inevitable: a streak of greens under the flat bet of 4x, covering his losses and bringing him up to a new ATH.
If he does not, he stops. Or pauses, at least. Let the algo get going and join it later. Rolls still hate him? Then he definitely stops.

He proved to have enough bank to lose and win back 100's at a time. Tonight, he won 100 BTC, then lost 100, then won 100 again. So why not?

Please keep in mind I have not seen him play with 0 profit. It's easier to risk betting on 400 BTC profit than at a lost.
Please feel free to share if you have noticed his first steps in PD.

Anyway, what is crazy for me is that he found a way of sticking to his sessions quite safely, something I find quite impressive for somebody that bets this amount every bet.
However, IMO he still bets too fast, I wonder if that is connected to the impression of somehow following a streak. Or mainly despair of instant win or instant run reversal.

From everyone I've seen playing the rolls, except if we ignore nakowa, he is by far the best one trying to take advantage of the fallacy, and his 4x bet makes a lot of sense when you get to think of it.
Only thing is, I believe he would make more profit with lower bets on the long run (having that bankroll and cold blood). Yet, I also believe that he would totally destroy PD if he had a bit more balls.

At least he's not risking 32BTC to win 1 or 2, like some miners do.

Gambling is fascinating.

--

On a side note, I plead PD support team to answer my emails on time.
Changes or updates are being made many times without official notice on the PD website itself. Which leads some of the users to deposit under DDoS or other unpractical conditions for a fair game.
Please bear with some of the players that cannot visit this thread regularly for updates. A small notice on the gambling mechanism itself would be much appreciated.
Note that not everyone is aware of the technical impediments for a good roll when the site is a bit shaky, so please try to explain this in broad terms to new users.
Thanks.

So yeah, won and lost 200 btc tonight (or slightly less, wtf)

It's nice to gamble profit, isn't it?