Quote from: JakeThePanda on November 05, 2014, 01:09:18 PM

Quote from: blue_wave on November 05, 2014, 12:19:32 PM

I had little too much time yesterday so I made a simple ROI calculation in excel. Anyone who wants to calculate earnings in staking and BRO investment feel free to check it out. Not perfect but it gives you an idea what to expect.

Its very easy, you just have to enter 5 variables and expected costs:
-Expected price of BRO in USD
-Number of Bergstake
-Staking days
-Invested BTC
-BTC price in USD

Download link: https://mega.co.nz/#!YVQVBJyQ!pHBjN37JH1OelgQcLlR1pgidpEW-U0ki1LNkBBrzVrc

If you think i should add something, let me know.

Hope that will come useful at least for someone.

Nice sheet. I love making spreadsheets. I changed some of the costs around to fit my personal BTC financial situation.

Obviously, the hardest prediction is the value of BRO. I've been trying to think about this. I believe Full Tilt Poker at the time of the DOJ investigation had about 400mm in customer deposits and FTP was the #2 poker site in the world at the time, behind Poker Stars. I'm not sure how much Poker Stars had on deposit but it was clearly a lot more than FTP. Based on PokerScout, the average, middle of the road, crappy poker site is about 1/50th the size of Poker Stars. If I take a conservative estimate and assume Poker Stars has 400mm in deposits, I can make a very conservative estimate and predict Breakoutgaming could have about 8mm on deposit. Remember, that's just poker. I have no idea about the fantasy sports market, but I think that market is way bigger than poker. If Breakoutgaming has $8mm on deposit, that means the minimum market value of BRO will be 8mm. Not everyone holding BRO will have their coins held on the gaming platform so the market cap will probably be higher. At an 8mm market cap, the price of BRO would be about $0.41. Currently, the ICO price of BRO is about $.06. That's a 583% return not including the value of the Bergstake.

The value of Bergstake is the long-term kicker here that makes the ICO even more valuable. If the price of BRO is $0.41 then each Bergstake you own will produce about $.03 worth of BRO every year. That's about 50% on your original investment every year for the life of Breakoutgaming. If we try to calculate the present value of the future Bergstake cash flows, the value of Bergstake alone is conservatively worth 5X the current ICO price.

based on who is involved in the Breakoutgaming project, I think these numbers are a very, very, very conservative estimate.

Disclaimer: These are my own personal estimates and this is not a recommendation to purchase BRO. Investments should be based on your own personal risk considerations and research. Grin

interesting, thumbs up!