Search content
Sort by

Showing 20 of 684 results by Jesse Livermore
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 11/06/2015, 03:27:13 UTC
I wonder if you'd be prepared to summarise the key points highlighting how these yield increases...

ok, at the risk of my amateur appraisal being shot down in flames by someone far more qualified....

...think of a big huge V. The top left end of the V is 1981 and the bottom apex is now (i.e. the right hand stem is all future).

Since 1981, interest rates have basically been falling. When big pension funds and the like invest money, they usually invest a good whack into government bonds which are considered one of the safest investments in the world since the guv can always tax people if it runs out of cash. (It can also print new money but it needs to 'back' that money with new debt in the form of more bonds).

So consider buying fixed interest rate bonds in 1981 when the interest rate was sky high up in the 18% region. You'd be on a winner if it was a 30 year bond because your money would be earning interest at a rate well above inflation for the whole period since prevailing interest rates have been declining since then along with inflation.

Now consider buying even a 5 year bond now - at almost zero interest rate. We are at the bottom of the V. Governments have been printing money like there's now tomorrow. According to that AEP article there are signs of inflation on the horizon. What that means is three very BAD things for your 5 year bond you just purchased:

[1] - you're going to be underwater for the foreseeable future because you're bond won't even earn you the inflation rate

[2] - the PRICE of your bond will fall (bond prices work in reverse to their yield, that's because if nobody wants to buy it, the lender has to offer more of a return until they find a buyer)

[3] - if inflation is on the rise then interest rates will also to keep it under control, so new bonds will be issued with a much better rate than yours, further encouraging people to dump at a loss and buy the new ones with higher yield

So what will you do ? Why, dump it of course. Which is exactly what everyone's doing and why the Germans just had to bump their bond yields up to 1%.

This is Max Keiser's "Bond Apocalypse" he keeps talking about.

There are other problems: big investors are hedged against this scenario using derivatives such as interest rate swaps. What that means is that when the yield on their investment goes below a certain floor, they are allowed to swap it for another investment who's yield is still high.

Guess who happens to be one of the biggest - if not the biggest - writers of these kind of swaps in the world ? Deutche Bank. Which is why the spotlight is on them in adverse financial conditions such as this. It's one thing to write out pieces of paper willy nilly saying you'll bail everybody out in the event of a fire, it's probably quite another to actually find the liquidity to do it when the s.h.t.f.

...I really don't understand at all (what's "M1" and "M3"?)

These are different grades of money supply. M1 is basically "narrow money" as it's called which means cash - i.e. it's very liquid. M3 is stuff that you can't readily liquidate - money market money and that type of stuff.

Lets say we had two types of money in this thread - Dash and the promise of Dash. i.e. some people were floating around actually doing InstantX wallet transfers and others were floating around exchanging bits of paper saying "promise to pay the bearer on demand X amount of Dash". In the event of a financial crisis, the people holding actual Dash in their wallets are fairly safe. The people trading the IOU's need to first liquify their paper - i.e. go back to the issuer and cash in their IOUs for real Dash so they're one step away in terms of liquidity.

In that scenario, the 'real Dash' would be narrow money (M0 or M1) and the paper would be 'broad money (M3).

The problem that many people are anticipating in the financial system is exactly this scramble for liquidity. Thats what has the potential to collapse the derivative markets because in the Fiat system there are umpteen layers of these liquidity cascades.

Hope I've not told too many lies there !


I'm in the biz, derivative trader friends are no worried more than usual, there is no 'mutterings' of trouble somewhere any more than usual. This article is 90% sensational bs to get the emotions running scared in gold and silver-buyers. Deutsche Bank co-CEOs are out because they don't know how to manage their companies and because legal fees have been ridiculous. Wall Street Journal tells the complete story, unlike this sensational fear-monger...http://www.wsj.com/articles/deutsche-bank-co-ceos-to-announce-resignations-1433674815
Anyhow the 10% of the article which is accurate is that transports are breaking away from the overall market, something typically seen at market, and economic, peaks. However it should be noted that the airline sector was helping to drive Transports higher and higher and they likely saw their peak weeks ago with the bottoming of oil....so my point is Transports diverging from the market might just be a sector-specific thing versus a monumental shift from an expanding economy to a retracting economy slowly taking hold.
How does this tie in to Dash? It doesn't really. We really have no clue yet on how cryptos are correlated to economic recessions. Maybe Dash is a safe haven, maybe BTC is a safehaven, maybe they're all speculative assets which get demolished during recessions....It should be obvious by now however that the mere existence of any value tied to cryptos should scare the bajesus out of the government and the investment world because it can be made completely untouchable to the government in the event that they need to produce tax revenues to pay off bonds and, unlike gold, you can spend cryptos and don't necessarily have high storage costs nor require a gun to protecting it. So maybe if the shit hits the fan so bad that governments raid IRA's and 401k's and lockdown checking account cash withdrawals then maybe cryptos are the true safehaven after all....and maybe then Dash's anonymity factor will become vital to civilization angry at government mistakes and control and so it'll gain serious value. $1,000 per Dash sounds about right in that scenario.
Sorry for the long reply, good to be back!

JL
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][CACH] CACHeCoin released based on scrypt-jane
by
Jesse Livermore
on 26/05/2015, 04:13:25 UTC
Radio silence....You're killing me, vertoe. Show us some love.
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 19/05/2015, 03:20:21 UTC
..... That moment when you realize your masternode was skipped for payment and you can't find it listed on the mn list site any more. VPS is humming along though so....
Wtf.

Had my second round of this nonsense.
It's not on digital ocean by any chance?

Very frustrating. Nope, not Digital Ocean.

My dashd was completely gone from my VPS. Had to delete and start off brand new. Wtf Vultr, wtf. I never did breach my credit amount either. They just straight up cleared out everything installed on my instance except the OS. Bizarre.
Bright side is I'm now on the .23 install so can vote for MN stuff....if only there was a guide.
JL
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 18/05/2015, 21:41:51 UTC
Just in, margin trading on Polo & two days notice to do KYC info or they'll likely freeze your funds:
...
Greetings from Poloniex!

Thanks for the editorial, thats the last nail in the coffin then (btw, I didnt get an email warning about this)
Got the email, bbye Polo. How much longer till Bittrex and Cryptsy follow suit. A day? A week?
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 18/05/2015, 21:01:59 UTC
..... That moment when you realize your masternode was skipped for payment and you can't find it listed on the mn list site any more. VPS is humming along though so....
Wtf.

Had my second round of this nonsense.
It's not on digital ocean by any chance?

Very frustrating. Nope, not Digital Ocean.
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 18/05/2015, 17:01:23 UTC
..... That moment when you realize your masternode was skipped for payment and you can't find it listed on the mn list site any more. VPS is humming along though so....
Wtf.

What version?

11.2.22 I got a warning last week from vps about running low on credits and added more a couple days later but it might have run out before I added. Will investigate when I get home later today.
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 18/05/2015, 16:13:41 UTC
..... That moment when you realize your masternode was skipped for payment and you can't find it listed on the mn list site any more. VPS is humming along though so....
Wtf.
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][CACH] CACHeCoin released based on scrypt-jane
by
Jesse Livermore
on 18/05/2015, 04:28:34 UTC
Alright Mr. or Ms. Vertoe, let's get this ANN plus roadmap going, eh?
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][CACH] CACHeCoin released based on scrypt-jane
by
Jesse Livermore
on 14/05/2015, 04:18:08 UTC
question to Vertoe you have any draft of "Technological RoadMap" for CACH ^ maybe its add price stability and why investors keep it ? one week you have enough to make a sketch and publish? I think it adds faith and patience to investors and not only them)

thx

Agreed. This would help everyone.
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 13/05/2015, 02:55:06 UTC
I have NO Tok abilities of TA but for me it looks like the end of correction and the completion of a diagonal triangle... Toknormal correct me if I`m wrong ....


We saw something similair on the XMR chart, the result:


The bigger picture:


To follow up on this, the chart currently looks a bit like a head & shoulders as well, which is also a bearish pattern -> http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/head-shoulders.asp


I am curious as how this is going to play out, since support in the 0.01-0.011 area historically tends to be strong.

Complete and total BS being peddled here by this guy. To not compare the volume signatures is to completely mislead.

Your XMR chart above shows a completed pump and dump bubble burst in action from late March to early April.
Lots of volume going up and then it dries out and the sellers get the hell out without any kind of buyers there to cushion the fall.

The fact that it completely gave up the rally it had just made on less volume is clue #1 that the XMR's rally was a complete bs pump.
Next the fact that XMR kept running into that line you drew just above 0.0028 with absolutely trendless volume, and without being able to make a higher-high, was clue #2 that the pump was over and the "Dump Part 2" was about to commence with the next round of weak hands heading for the exit upon a break of that line.

Overall you see none of these same volume signatures in Dash. Instead you see a massive volume increase with price following and then a declining dropoff in volume and a slowing down of the price decline post-rally and an overall basing pattern in price.
This is called "take a breather" phase or "accumulation". Notice, we are still nowhere near the initial price levels, unlike XMR which immediately dropped back initial support and then eventually to those first price levels because it had no actual long-term accumulation taking place in it. Notice, there is a trend in the Dash volume...it is declining drastically as this spring is about to be sprung upwards again...everything points to the next big trend move likely being upwards due to likely imminent news events soon.

JL
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 12/05/2015, 04:16:33 UTC


I would urge everyone that owns a masternode to take the time and actually put a vote out
which will directly influence the % for NEA and YEA votes.

Its time to bring the number of masternode owners  not having voted yet down people !!

Read more about the voting proposal here :

Original voting proposal :

https://dashtalk.org/threads/vote-self-sustainable-decentralized-governance-by-blockchain.4825/

Update on original proposal :

https://dashtalk.org/threads/vote-self-sustainable-decentralized-governance-by-blockchain.4825/page-4#post-53665

How To Vote :

To vote, simply copy your masternode.conf into your dash directory, open the software then execute the command “masternode vote-many yea” or “masternode vote-many nay”.

To vote with a single masternode you can use the command “masternode vote yea” or “masternode vote nay”.

How to view the voting results so far :

https://dashtalk.org/threads/halle-berrys-masternode-info-tools.3036/ (check the exspected payment per masternode / day)

How to view the results of your own voting :

https://dashninja.pl/mndetails.html?mnpubkey=YROWNMASTERNODEPUBKEY






First off, this is why there needs to be a Dash newsletter. Many of us masternode owners are living our real lives and only occasionally checking on the mn address and VPS...and rarely checking out this board.
Second, is there a guide ala Tao's masternode guide (ie ELI5) to enabling mn to vote and voting if I have a VPS mn? Frankly, I'm amazed everyday that I set this thing up, but it was because Tao's guide was fantastically thorough for us non-programming dummies.
JL

follow us on any social media (twitter, FB, G+,Instagram,...)
and you know exactly what is going on

really not that hard !
 Wink

Hmm okey dokey.
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 12/05/2015, 03:26:10 UTC


I would urge everyone that owns a masternode to take the time and actually put a vote out
which will directly influence the % for NEA and YEA votes.

Its time to bring the number of masternode owners  not having voted yet down people !!

Read more about the voting proposal here :

Original voting proposal :

https://dashtalk.org/threads/vote-self-sustainable-decentralized-governance-by-blockchain.4825/

Update on original proposal :

https://dashtalk.org/threads/vote-self-sustainable-decentralized-governance-by-blockchain.4825/page-4#post-53665

How To Vote :

To vote, simply copy your masternode.conf into your dash directory, open the software then execute the command “masternode vote-many yea” or “masternode vote-many nay”.

To vote with a single masternode you can use the command “masternode vote yea” or “masternode vote nay”.

How to view the voting results so far :

https://dashtalk.org/threads/halle-berrys-masternode-info-tools.3036/ (check the exspected payment per masternode / day)

How to view the results of your own voting :

https://dashninja.pl/mndetails.html?mnpubkey=YROWNMASTERNODEPUBKEY






First off, this is why there needs to be a Dash newsletter. Many of us masternode owners are living our real lives and only occasionally checking on the mn address and VPS...and rarely checking out this board.
Second, is there a guide ala Tao's masternode guide (ie ELI5) to enabling mn to vote and voting if I have a VPS mn? Frankly, I'm amazed everyday that I set this thing up, but it was because Tao's guide was fantastically thorough for us non-programming dummies.
JL
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][CACH] CACHeCoin released based on scrypt-jane
by
Jesse Livermore
on 08/05/2015, 04:00:54 UTC
Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Purchased a 10,000 BTC PUT option today, history has been made
by
Jesse Livermore
on 06/05/2015, 02:36:20 UTC
I wonder if you really have enough money to buy 10k bitcoin's
Since you still join a signature campaign Roll Eyes

Or still want to have more bitcoin
Bitcoin is going to 150-175 in the next three months which by my estimate of 170 will net me $375,000. After conversion fees and hiding said money lets say $300,000. Nice.

And you bet my ass I will be using Bitmixer to mix my coins too. Smiley


Wait....BUY 10,000 BTC...LOL sir...do you know what an option EVEN IS?

Wow, perusing BCT I came upon this...
Wow, Whatsbitcoin is going to make $300k because bitcoin IS going to bottom out somewhere around $170 within the next 60 days.
Sure hope his counterparty in this trade has hedged all risk on this trade because it'd be a shame if Whatsbitcoin gets screwed after making this awesome trade.

JL
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][CACH] CACHeCoin released based on scrypt-jane
by
Jesse Livermore
on 05/05/2015, 15:42:57 UTC
Something tells me vertoe's got additional things to announce.
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][FLO] Florin | The original tx msg coin | Blocktech Project Alexandria
by
Jesse Livermore
on 03/05/2015, 20:22:05 UTC
I'm only locking up about 100 million coins.  We can trade with the rest ;-)

Nice name. This is a shit-coin, newbie. Run away now.
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][DASH] Dash | First Anonymous Coin | Inventor of X11, DGW, Darksend and InstantX
by
Jesse Livermore
on 01/05/2015, 03:50:35 UTC

Is this a start of a new trend, a higher BTC-e price than the others?

Could also be the start of the crash of the $USD.


Still early. This may just be a backtest of resistance:



Or it may be the start of the crash of the $USD....I've seen this pattern go either way from here. Parabolic up (which means this is a backtest to resistance as you say here) or slow crash back down (which means this was a massive, last-ditch, final hoorah head-fake to get everyone to think a new $USD bull market was beginning.
JL
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][CACH] CACHeCoin released based on scrypt-jane
by
Jesse Livermore
on 30/04/2015, 03:23:24 UTC
Pretty chart now. Volume dried up. Price going sideways now for nearly a week. Major consolidation.
Next stop.... Possibly 150-200k sats...possibly within next 3 weeks. Major fractal action which is prevalent in crypto... Particularly the good Cryptos.

Whatever vertoe is up to the chart says it's big.

JL
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][CACH] CACHeCoin released based on scrypt-jane
by
Jesse Livermore
on 22/04/2015, 18:28:14 UTC
WHEEERRRREEEE ISSSS THEEEE ROOOOAAADDDMMMAAAPPPPP ?  Angry

Dude.....chill.  Vertoe said possibly Wednesday and implied many times that 'she' has a life to live outside crypto.
I respect that. This isn't a pump and dump Dev whose main goal is price appreciation ASAP.
Vertoe's making something worthwhile here and it sounds like 'she' is trying to do so while fitting it into 'her' busy life. Not an easy task.

JL
Post
Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][CACH] CACHeCoin released based on scrypt-jane
by
Jesse Livermore
on 21/04/2015, 17:18:59 UTC
Things are getting ready
Will not see this cheap coins in few months
Price will get above 50k sats

Shhhhhhhhh some of us are still quietly accumulating.