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Showing 20 of 32 results by Sigmoid
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Re: Anyone else bought high? Worried? Still holding strong? (I bought in at $1080)
by
Sigmoid
on 18/12/2013, 19:35:24 UTC
The USD's most important risk factor are tapering concerns.

If QE remains then you should see BTC going back up with a weaker dollar.
Also vice versa, lower bitcoins with more faith in the dollar.

Start thinking about the bigger picture when you want to play cryptocurrencies.
If the Eurozone of US show signs of weakness in their currency, albeit anything really -- btc's value will go up.

A good way to keep track of US dollar's trend is by looking at the Dollar Index vs. 6 major currencies.

You are making a very big assumption... That Bitcoin itself can be considered stable ground with a stable value that will reflect in changing price as fiat currencies are debased. Wink
That's a pretty large leap of faith.

(The word on gold is that an ounce of gold has always been about the right price for a gentleman's suit. You could dress up for it in Ancient Rome, and you can dress up for the same amount of gold in XXI. century New York. It's not entirely exact, but mostly it stands true. That's why you can speculate with gold against money supply - even though irregularities happen, like what happened in the last few years. However, Bitcoin has no agreed upon value. Over the last few years, a Bitcoin could buy anything from a can of Coke to a used car.)
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Re: Anyone else bought high? Worried? Still holding strong? (I bought in at $1080)
by
Sigmoid
on 18/12/2013, 19:19:53 UTC
Name the flaws, I dont see any.
Your dreamer if you think some altcoin magically take over Bitcoin. Most devs working on Bitcoin software, and the software is so reliable only because of them. If not Bitcoin, no decentralized cryptocurrency will succeed

Well, in the same vein, in the 80s you could have argued that if one day everyone will have a computer in their pockets, it will be made by Commodore.
Where is Commodore today? Wink

As for the flaws, there are three major ones (to rule them all and in the darkness bind them):

Deflationary model.
It's a horrible idea, and a defunct system purposely discarded in the early 20. century. The problem with today's fiat currencies isn't stable inflation, it's manual control by governments in form of easings and tightenings. A currency with a stable, fixed rate of inflation would be preferrable. Deflation favors the lender (stockpiler) as opposed to the borrower (innovator / producer). For example, you buy a farm. The value of the farm will drop with time due to deflation, while the borrowed capital debt will stay constant (and accrue interest). It was bad enough a hundred years ago, believe me you don't want it back.

Messed up mining rewards system
The mining infrastructure, due to the borked rewards system, is ultimately self-destructive, leading the network toward centralization and eventually evaporation.
I've already written about this extensively. It pretty much counteracts all the big pretty words that were said in the manifesto, like "independence" or "decentralization".

Disproportionate holdings of early adopters
Due to the mining curve, the majority of Bitcoin is held by a few early adopters, and this will not change. Unless the goal is to create a new evil financial elite / illuminati to replace the current one, I don't see what good Bitcoin can do for us.
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Re: Anyone else bought high? Worried? Still holding strong? (I bought in at $1080)
by
Sigmoid
on 18/12/2013, 17:53:39 UTC
I wouldn't worry.
Most of the naysayers are spineless liberals who can't stand the idea do a currency that is not subject to the whims of beaurocrats.

Okay, answer me this.

Who has both the resources AND the motivation to take absolute control over bitcoin through implementing a 51% mining takeover?

The... government, maybe? Bingo!
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Re: Anyone else bought high? Worried? Still holding strong? (I bought in at $1080)
by
Sigmoid
on 18/12/2013, 16:39:08 UTC
Look deep into yourselves, and ask the following question:
"Why am I in Bitcoin?"

HONESTLY.

If the response is "I read this awesome cypherpunk article in 2009 about a new libertarian, totally free currency, and I've been an advocate since", my hat's off to you Sir, even though I personally think you're full of it. Wink

If the response is, however, "I read about it in the news, and realized that if I were an early adopter, I could be a focken millionaire by now, so I'm here because it's better late then never", then realize the following:
99% of all the people here, of all the people you're trading with, are here for the SAME REASON.

Be honest with yourself. You want to be part of the next big thing that will make you wealthy. That's your SOLE reason for being here.

There's only one problem with that. Bitcoin is not the next big thing, it's the latest big thing. It's already happened. You can't duplicate the success of early adopters. It's mined dry. The price has been to heaven and back. Once everyone has realized that, and the inherent flaws of the system become apparent, things will just wind down.
All these people will take their money and buy penny stocks or real estate in the asteroid belt or whatever. The miners will take their rigs offline because they won't even pay for their own upkeep anymore.

I'm not saying the idea of cryptocurrency is dead, but I'm certain that if a crypto will in fact make it to widespread adoption, it will not be Bitcoin. Bitcoin has several horrible flaws.
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Re: Newbies, stay away from altcoins. please
by
Sigmoid
on 18/12/2013, 16:21:48 UTC
Well, it's not really investment. It's called speculation.
Not that there's anything wrong with that.

As for altcoins, 99% of all the interest around cryptocurrency is generated by a post-event hype of a successful get rich quick scheme that made millionaires of several early adopters (and it's quite clear that the Bitcoin train has left, you can't early adopt it anymore, the rocket fuel's gone).
Most altcoins come from the misguided hope of duplicating that success. Of course, the rate of success is unlikely to come even close to Bitcoin, but it will have a profound negative effect over time to the very idea of cryptocurrency as a whole. It's as if in the late years of the California gold rush, miners could just make up new minerals that are still abundant - and there would be people around to buy those at a premium.

However, given the inherent flaws of Bitcoin, I am sure that if cryptocurrency does go mainstream, it will not be Bitcoin, but some alt that has addressed those flaws. PeerCoin is an interesting step in the good direction, but its money supply scheme is still not inflationary enough to be useful as a currency, and in fact encourages hoarding to a ridiculous degree. Also, the transition from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake operation sounds shaky at best.
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Re: What will the value of BTC be without China?
by
Sigmoid
on 18/12/2013, 16:02:01 UTC
Sure, but bitcoin managed to survive without China, so it won't be so bad I think.

Your use of past tense is misguided. The game is still on.
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Board Meta
Re: TOR unfriendly spam policies
by
Sigmoid
on 09/12/2013, 18:13:26 UTC
...or, have IP bans only affect new user registration.

If a spammer's user account is banned, and he can't create a new one from his IP, I guess the ban has served its purpose.
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Topic OP
TOR unfriendly spam policies
by
Sigmoid
on 09/12/2013, 17:16:52 UTC
People, having such anti-TOR, and not to mention stupid policies on a forum frequented by cypherpunks and libertarians is quite surprising.

Upon opening the page, I was greeted by a message stated I'm banned for spamming. At first I was a bit shocked, but then hit "new identity", and the message disappeared, apparently I'm not banned anymore.

Dear administrators.

Banning a TOR exit is not only useless in the fight against spammers (note, if I WAS a spammer, I'd still only have to click "new identity"), it's an affront to all that is dear to the Internet freedom fight that bitcoin too is part of. You are making TOR into a public enemy, and not in a very useful way.
If you want to ban TOR, please be honest about it and ban all TOR exit nodes.

Otherwise, I'd suggest you mandate registrations from non-TOR computers (you can use online lists of TOR exit nodes to ban them), but allow all IPs to log in to existing accounts.
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Re: Known Problems with Bitcoin
by
Sigmoid
on 07/12/2013, 06:45:27 UTC
They will be worth nothing if you cannot prevent a 51% attack.

Yep. Once the system is compromised, both the "crypto" and the "coin" evaporates out of cryptocoin. It will just be worthless random numbers on an HDD somewhere.

Most miners are looking at Bitcoin as a way to make some quick money. The lifespan of newly designed rigs is counted in months. Have no doubt about it, once the rewards drop, hashing power will dry up like a desert riverbed after rain.

The system looks inherently broken, and there doesn't seem to be a way of fixing it. Litecoin didn't do much to address any of this, Peercoin was an interesting idea, but it's eventually a dog with its own fleas.
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Re: Why release ASIC miners?
by
Sigmoid
on 06/12/2013, 22:26:06 UTC
All of you who say one should buy coins instead of mining rigs...

Do you understand what you are saying?

I mean, do you really get it, what you're implying?

Even saying it's a conspiracy of corporations...

Mining IS Bitcoin. The reason Bitcoin operates, exists, is that there is processing capacity allocated to it.

If mining becomes a monopoly, Bitcoin becomes compromised, and thus worthless.

If mining stops, Bitcoin becomes unusable, and thus worthless.

If you do not think it's a good idea to mine, then you should be SELLING your coins asap, because you're saying the roof is coming down, and soon.
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Re: What's so bad about keeping money in an online wallet?
by
Sigmoid
on 06/12/2013, 22:13:19 UTC
The way coinbase is setup, even if someone hacked into their online server and had full access to everything, they could only access a very small number of bitcoins.

I don't think the mass of people will take the time to store their bitcoins in a paper wallet.  People just won't do that.

Well it's their loss.

I mean sure, nobody says not to have an on-line wallet. But if you have a large sum of money (more than the average amount of cash you carry with you), you should put it on a paper wallet.

Having $100 in an online wallet can make it easier to order pizza for bitcoin, or whatever.

And there's nothing strange or new about this. Some 40 years ago, bearer bonds and materialized stocks were still a thing, and most rich people kept their reserves in a private safe somewhere in the form of paper.

If you have 100 bitcoins, keeping the code on any electronic device would be madness. Keeping them on an online server would be... Bugs Bunny and Daffy Duck flipping out insane.

Print it out, seal it in an envelope, stamp it down with your family signet ring, or whatever, and keep it in a floor safe.
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Re: News for beginners easy mining
by
Sigmoid
on 06/12/2013, 21:58:23 UTC
New Cloud Mining Bitcoins,free mining for bitcoins - no hardver,no setup,no buying speed. You need only web browser. Cloud Mining multiple GHS multiplier, you do not need your hardver resources,only a Web browser More users are linked to the cloud server so you multiply the chances of discovering new bitcoin block provides extra bitcoins being credited to the system,and fast mining speed,and quickly made ??a Bitcoin mining with innovative cloud-based bitcoin mining equipment to. Starting 06 12 2013 https://bitcointalk.org/annoyance.php

I wonder why it is that 90% of spammers and scammers have trouble with punctuation and newlines... Wink
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Re: What's so bad about keeping money in an online wallet?
by
Sigmoid
on 06/12/2013, 18:31:17 UTC
Think Wild Western bank robbery.

Someone hacks into their system, and drains all the coins. You're patently screwed then.
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Re: What happens to Bitcoin value when block reward drops?
by
Sigmoid
on 06/12/2013, 17:22:04 UTC
It's an overall problem of BTC (one of many) - in the end only some few entities will control Blockchain = compromised = end of BTC. Just one of many problems which will prevent BTC from being successful.

Other Coins have much better technique and are more suited for future use.

I haven't yet seen a major alt coin with a constant linear money supply. It makes perfect sense to have predictable low inflation over a long term. It would make for a much more stable and much more ethical system.

It still rules out the deliberate easings that central banks use to debase fiat currency.
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Topic OP
Bitcoin transactions are a Mexican stand-off
by
Sigmoid
on 06/12/2013, 17:17:39 UTC
I have a thing I want to sell. There's a guy who wants to buy it. We'll settle in bitcoin.

What happens? Well, the situation is similar to two criminals doing an exchange, each with a gun pointed at the other. It's a modified prisoner's dilemma. If one shoots the other, he gets both the money and the drugs.

If I ship before I get the bitcoins, the buyer can just walk away with the merchandise, and never pay me. Since bitcoin transactions are untrackable, there is no way for me to legally prove that I haven't been paid.

If he pays first, I can walk away with the bitcoins, and never ship. He has absolutely no way of proving that he ever paid me.

The only solution would be using a payment processor, but that takes away the very essence of why bitcoin was created in the first place, as it brings "banks" back into the business...
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Re: What happens to Bitcoin value when block reward drops?
by
Sigmoid
on 06/12/2013, 17:09:53 UTC
It may (will) undermine hashing distribution, and eventually destroy bitcoin.

"Mining is for an elite" = security and anonymity has been compromised.

Unless people start paying transaction fees asap.
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Re: Is there any SHA256/SHA512 coin that is worth mining (GPU/Nvidia)?
by
Sigmoid
on 06/12/2013, 16:46:40 UTC
I really wonder what the implications of this would be, i'm sure they wouldn't think twice about doing it. Is there anything at all that can be done to prevent this?

Not much, apart from...
1. abandoning BTC in favor of a new currency specifically engineered to counteract this (Litecoin didn't do enough in this regard)
2. making BTC transaction fees a thing, and restoring profitability to small mining operations.

If you send BTC without a fee, you're killing BTC.
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Re: Where do the "lost" Bitcoins go
by
Sigmoid
on 05/12/2013, 22:11:19 UTC
But how would that affect the currency? E.g. what if some of the top wallets are lost wallets. Is that making bitcoins more stable, since the lost wallets are not cashed out?

Nope. The stability of bitcoin is determined by live supply and demand. Lost money is dead money, it doesn't go anywhere. In a way it has an effect, as it lowers the potential live supply.

Practically, you could generate a paper wallet, put it in a treasure chest and bury it on an island in the Pacific. If it is found two hundred years later, and bitcoin still exists, then that money will be there waiting for whoever has the code.

The money belonging to lost codes will keep waiting until the cryptography is cracked, or someone finds the code.
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Re: People's Bank of China Says Bitcoin Cannot Circulate as Currency in the Market
by
Sigmoid
on 05/12/2013, 18:09:58 UTC
I know it's debatable, but I think bitcoin does have intrinsic value based on it's utility and privacy.

It doesn't create income, so it doesn't have intrinsic value. It can be a good store of arbitrary market value though, due to its utility.

A stock is a promise to pay back with interest on a capitol investment.

Erm... no. That is a bond.
A stock is a fractional ownership in an enterprise, which is, if you chose the stock well, a productive entity in the real economy with employees, market and assets.

A promise made by one entity that may fail. Bitcoin has the backing of all it's users and is less likely to fail, because there is no central failure point.

In theory... But have you seen stampeding cattle? And stampeding humans? Wink
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Re: People's Bank of China Says Bitcoin Cannot Circulate as Currency in the Market
by
Sigmoid
on 05/12/2013, 16:23:09 UTC
Also, unlike stocks BTC has a value outside of what you can sell it for.

You mean intrinsic value? You are mistaken. It's stocks that have intrinsic value (at least good stocks). That value comes from owning market share, production capacity, etc. All value of Bitcoin comes from trust.

That said, trust can be a pretty powerful force.