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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 25/12/2023, 17:24:12 UTC
now some of you may not know who i am but give this post a merit and you might find out.

I do not actually CARE who you are.  As long as you are playing that sort of game.

Maybe you are someone I respect or at least used to... dunno.
whats a guy gata do to get some merti around here!?
I used to come chat here all the time on another account, it's funny to see all these familiar usernames. but your right dosnt matter...

 Merry Christmas
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 25/12/2023, 05:59:48 UTC
Merry Christmas Everyone!

There will be a pull back, but know that it wont last long, i've been buzy buying ammo   Grin Grin Grin

Lets  Fucking GOOOO!

CCMF

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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 25/12/2023, 05:59:13 UTC
I guess I should apologize for a couple drunken posts last night...
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Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Bitcoin losing its P2P efficiency!!
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 23/12/2023, 05:43:35 UTC
It's important that bitcoin remains as decentralised as possible, the added value of having low value transactions directly on the L1 is not enough of a reason to compromise on bitcoin's decentralisation.

lower fee do not cause more centralisation.. its actually the opposite way round

when fee's are high users lock their value to middlemen, causing more centralisation of fund control

when mining pools get too much profit. they buy more asic farms to centralise the hashing. but the distributed hobby miners due to not having great deals on electric and hardware cannot buy as many asics in one go to compete.

when pools take a 2% cut of reward + X% of fee's they can expand their single location asic farm faster than hobby miners distributed around the world getting only 0.000x% share of reward+fees

it doesnt matter how high the fee's go the individual independent asic owners cannot compete compared to the pool owners

its the economics of any industry manager-worker relationship
if general income is X but manager gets 2% and worker gets 0.0002% the more income the business earns the manager profits the most

think about it.. (asic costs $4k)
if a manager gets 2% of $270k ($5375) he can add 4 new asics every 3rd block
if a worker gets 0.0002% ($0.54) he can get one new asic once every 7400 blocks

fanky
I do not give a rats ass about the techinals.. i dont...
give me max decentraliation on btc layer 1
nothing else matters.


it dosnt matter if L2 is full of KYC, the only thing that is improtent is that L1 remains 150% decentalized peer to peer digial cash, because without that we are nothing.

you get wqhat im saying??

i DONT CARE if lighting sucks because XYZ, as long as L1 is 110% decentralied. and all the good things that come with that.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 23/12/2023, 05:23:22 UTC
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 23/12/2023, 05:21:15 UTC
now some of you im not know how i am but give this post a merit and you might find out.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 23/12/2023, 05:20:30 UTC
hey guys im weasted lets talk
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Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Why Bitcoin is the #1 crypto currency in the world if it's slow and expensive?
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 23:37:32 UTC
it's not about fast and cheap transactions, it's about immutable, permissionless, peer to peer transactions. without these properties all we have here is a terribly inefficient shared database hyped up with buzz words like "blockchain" ( XRP )
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Re: Bitcoin losing its P2P efficiency!!
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 23:13:46 UTC
It's important that bitcoin remains as decentralized as possible, the added value of having low value transactions directly on the L1 is not enough of a reason to compromise on bitcoin's decentralization.

But with a Layer 2 & 3 we can have our cake and eat it too, we can have max decentralization on Layer 1, and fast and cheap transactions on Layer2, its being built right now, lighting is maybe not the full solution we once thought it would be, its has its place and there are other Layer 2 underway, and they're about to get a whole lot of attention now that fees are a problem again.

this is the path bitcoin has chosen, and its probably the right path.

"If you don't believe me or don't get it, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry." -satoshi
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 21:25:10 UTC
@BritishHodl
This is what a Spot ETF in the USA did to Gold for 8 years.

8 years of up on an asset with a flexible supply schedule.

What do you think is going to happen to #Bitcoin  which has a fixed defined supply, that halves every 4 years, of which people that own the coins HODL 80% of them?

These bearish on #Bitcoin  ETF people are either the stupidest people on earth, or have an agenda to be bearish.

Like the Gold sellers did when I was telling people to use GLD, they hated me because their business was dying.

Just on price - how can you be bearish on a Spot #Bitcoin  ETF?

We can argue ideology and philosophy.

But we can’t argue financial physics of supply and demand.

https://x.com/britishhodl/status/1738294151869862253

it took gold 1000days to make new ATHs after its ETF was rolled out

but #this time its different
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Re: Ordinal blockchain irking me, causing almost $40 median fee now...
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 18:32:35 UTC
- Ordinals by itself is not technically an "exploit", BUT it can be used as an attack vector to impede and interrupt financial transactions in the Bitcoin blockchain.

I'm willing to be you most miners don't see it as an "attack vector." So long as somebody is paying a fee, the system is working as intended.

miners dont see the transactions!!

mining pools decide on the transactions
stop using the scripted PR campaign shown to you by dumb-dumb group to try to make it as if its the miners are the cause

miners dont handle transactions.. they just SHA256 hash
miners are not making political decisions on code
miners do not write code
miners did not open the exploit
miners are not the ones to fix the exploit
the exploit has nothing to do with asic firmware
thus has nothing to do with miners

the core devs opened the exploit the core devs can close it.
adam back is not even a dev. but a manager of the devs and he has commanded that they do nothing..
he hypocritically then says devs should work on other networks and promote other networks instead.. as the things bitcoiners should use (facepalm)

core devs should fix bitcoin issues not be subverted into helping subnetworks become popular due to their employers politics

bitcoiners should not be made to move over to other networks

bitcoin devs should concentrate on bitcoin issues not the politics of their employer

i'm not sure there is much the devs can do

makeing Ordinal transactions invalid would require a hardfork, miners wont go for that...

making Ordinal spam that minners can choose to include or filter out of there blocks is the only way forward (isnt?) and its hard to see how much hashing power would choose to filter Ordinal and massivly cut into their profit margin, for some minners not including this spam might make them unprofitable...

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Re: 'Attack on Bitcoin’ Claims Circulate as Transaction Fees Climb Higher
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 06:07:35 UTC
It appears the writer of this news article does not read between the lines hehehee. Luke Dashjr did not capitulate on his criticism on Ordinals. What Ocean Mining is only doing is it will recommend 3 block templates for their miners and let them decide what they want to use. I speculate that this is only the beginning. Luke Dashjr might have a roadmap already created to minimize Ordinals' effect on fees.


Sarcastic Luke

Bitcoin developer Luke Dashjr fought the rise of Ordinals, which he called "spam," but now his mining pool is allowing them.

A prominent Bitcoin Core developer and Ordinals critic, Luke Dashjr, may have had a change of heart about the NFT-like assets. Or at the very least, his company is moving beyond his own hardline stance around Ordinals.

With the update, Ocean says, miners can choose from three block template policy options: Ocean Recommended, focusing on what the company calls “real” financial transactions with minimal spam; Bitcoin Core with the “Ordisrespector” spam filter; and the unmodified Bitcoin Core, mirroring other pools with fewer financial transactions but more “spam”—meaning Ordinals and BRC-20 token transactions.


Source https://decrypt.co/210662/bitcoin-ordinals-critic-caves-jack-dorsey-backed-ocean-mining-pool-flips-inscriptions
Quote
Bitcoin mining company Ocean has announced a change in its stance on Ordinals inscriptions, allowing miners to decide whether to process Bitcoin blocks containing non-financial transactions. Previously, the company prohibited such actions. This move comes as a surprise to many, given the company’s and Luke Dashjr’s hardline stance against Ordinals in the past.

dude he caved!  now even lass hashing power is filtering Ordinals...

there will be Ordinals in every block forever  Shocked
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Re: 'Attack on Bitcoin’ Claims Circulate as Transaction Fees Climb Higher
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 05:27:22 UTC
I don't know but the Bitcoin developer or the ordinal developer should figure this out or the fee will be this high for a long time.

There is no "Ordinals developer". There's only a bunch of people throwing programming shit at the wall to see what sticks.

As for bitcoin developers, well the default tendency is to do nothing, except for a small minority of them.

There's no easy way to undo ordinals at this point. You are going to need to gather enough capital and mining power involved to basically push for what would be a BTC hardfork without ordinals, and this would need to be done in a way that guarantees no future ordinals are possible, but then again, how do you this without causing another hardfork civil war, and how do you do it without getting rid of taproot? because if taproot is possible, I believe there could be ways around any restrictions put into ordinals to come up with alternatives.

theres no need for a hardfork, miners could mine empty blocks if they so choose, a softfork of the minning software which allows minners to choose to filter out the ordinal spam would be a softfork.

and indeed this it seems to be happening.

It appears the writer of this news article does not read between the lines hehehee. Luke Dashjr did not capitulate on his criticism on Ordinals. What Ocean Mining is only doing is it will recommend 3 block templates for their miners and let them decide what they want to use. I speculate that this is only the beginning. Luke Dashjr might have a roadmap already created to minimize Ordinals' effect on fees.


Sarcastic Luke

Bitcoin developer Luke Dashjr fought the rise of Ordinals, which he called "spam," but now his mining pool is allowing them.

A prominent Bitcoin Core developer and Ordinals critic, Luke Dashjr, may have had a change of heart about the NFT-like assets. Or at the very least, his company is moving beyond his own hardline stance around Ordinals.

With the update, Ocean says, miners can choose from three block template policy options: Ocean Recommended, focusing on what the company calls “real” financial transactions with minimal spam; Bitcoin Core with the “Ordisrespector” spam filter; and the unmodified Bitcoin Core, mirroring other pools with fewer financial transactions but more “spam”—meaning Ordinals and BRC-20 token transactions.


Source https://decrypt.co/210662/bitcoin-ordinals-critic-caves-jack-dorsey-backed-ocean-mining-pool-flips-inscriptions

Good!

but thats now how much % of he hashrate will filter out ordinal? are minners really going to turn down short term profits for the good fo the network?
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Re: High transaction fees affects those who DCA
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 04:24:50 UTC
It does hit really hard for people who like DCA and do not keep their money in centralized exchange, in fact because this F*cking ordinal is really hard for everyone except the miner who get 3-6 Btc in a single block.

Merchant or a freelancer like will be also hit by the high fee because they should consider the fee and must to add to their service for a freelancer and merchant might see less people using bitcoin if this not allowing down

everyone that isnt moving +10K around is going to have to move down to layer2

there isnt enogh space on L1 to move 200-300$ at a time, we got small .Png files to move  Cool
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Merits 4 from 2 users
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 03:27:23 UTC
⭐ Merited by philipma1957 (2) ,LFC_Bitcoin (2)
Bitcoin is having a nice run but with its mempool issues currently you can really see the effect on higher throughput blockchains. Solana and ADA seem to be crushing it as a result. I hope Bitcoin can get this figured out. It is way too early in the cycle to be having these issues. Makes you wonder who these people are making transactions currently.

I have used some XMR and LTC recently ( which were quite fast and cheap), it is almost impossible to move btc now. Curiously, those coins are not performing well...

that's prorbably because poeple dont HODL these coins, they just use them to send value around fast and cheep.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 22/12/2023, 00:02:08 UTC
This "in cash" thing about the ETF is ticking me off. They're just looking for a way into paper btc, which as of now isn't a (real) thing. They will have their way, I'm sure.

I hope they get burned by the mightiest short squeeze on the "underlying" the Earth has ever seen. That will teach them and enrich others (notably, some of the people reading these words).

I don't the correlation between in-cash and paper BTC. Bitcoin ETF will be a highly regulated product, given the position of the SEC.

I don't see a problem with "in-cash" settlement, considering most in market participants would be entering in cash, would make sense from a financial/accounting side to exit in-cash as well.

Some drawbacks floating around is fees/fees and more fees. Given the state of the mempool, i think settlement in cash maybe more of an advantage, given the cost to sell on an exchange is less than 1%


in-cash or in-kind, fractional-reserve / paper Bitcoin is still possible... and porbably legal?

gold ETFs are a "highly regulated product" and they naked short sell the crap out of that all the time, no?
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Re: Lightning Network Observer
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 21/12/2023, 18:57:05 UTC
https://sbtc.tech/

i think this is what franky is talking about
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 21/12/2023, 07:01:44 UTC
well the way i see it the ETF being approved is the reason we had a run up from 25K, its priced in now. So not getting approved means we need a massive correction, and a massive correction generally leads to some panic selling,  if we don't have the ETF to look forward to and insted we are faced with a system that is Clearly trying to stifle bitcoin...  in this scenario 20K seems very posibile imo. but, it seems more likely than ever before, that these ETFs will get a green light. and again because i believe this fact is already priced in, i'm betting in the short term we are moving DOWN and not up on this news, buy the rumor sell the news type deal, Its a solid trade imo, it sure is a lot easier to just buy now and hope that the etf approval means new ATH's, but we dont make money taking easy trades.

We have each said our parts, and I don't really disagree with anything that you said in terms of various ways to play both sides, and sure, you have to have something at stake in order to make money in those kinds of presumptions that you have, and even if some of the pre-ETF type discussions were likely a lot of the run up from $26k/$27k, that does not even mean that complete denial of such an ETF would mean that we would have to correct down to those kinds of levels or that they would even be reasonable, including the idea that they might have  already been quite suppressed BTC prices as our starting point... so if we are starting from quite suppressed prices (just thinking in terms of the 200-week moving average as a kind of guideline for what bottoms tend to be and what is reasonable for possible bottoms), then going back down to either those low prices of $26k/$27k or even $24k/$25k - which was also not that long ago that we were there, but even more so your expectation of $20k-ish just seems like similar kinds pie in the sky expectations for sub $500 that were being made in March 2017, and sure anything is possible, but sometimes, we get to a point where that ship has likely sailed and you are being a bit of a dumb ass to be considering 30% to 40% below the 200-week moving average as any kind of base-case possibilities of something that could happen, even if some bad news (regarding ETF rejection or whatever) ends up happening.

we have seen -30% below 200 week ema before, it's not impossible. the ETF getting  rejected seems to have a nearly 0% chance of happening, so it if IS rejected to me this signals somthing very wrong and thats why im putting my target so damn low for this crazy scenario. crazy scenario, crazy target. the most likely scenario is that the ETF gets approved, followed by a nice little price crash to 31K

yes yes yes i am a degen gambleing with the most tasty corn the world has ever seen. but its fun you should try it sometime.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 20/12/2023, 23:28:35 UTC
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
TrustedBitcoiner
on 20/12/2023, 22:25:48 UTC
"When you're buying this much, it could take 3 or 4 days. It takes a day to accumulate 50 million dollars worth of Bitcoin. If you're buying it every 5 seconds, 24 hours a day, it takes you a day. Every 5 seconds. So, while I'm doing that, I've a lot of time to stare at the screen and think about it, and, you know what I'm thinking while I'm actually buying every 5 seconds, for 4 days in a row? I'm thinking, who are these people that are selling this to me? And I feel sorry for them. What are you going to buy with the cash that I'm giving you, that's better than what you're selling to me? I hope that they're getting married with the money, or they're buying a yacht, or a jet, or something that they really love, because if they're trading it in order to buy another asset, I just pity them."

— Michael Saylor

[Source]

imagine hitting the buy button every 5 seconds. so much dopamine, no wonder this guy is so high.

Stonks got smashed today...so, maybe, bitcoin would get it's own "smashing" in the next day or two..or, instead, some overheated sh-tcoins would get smashed and btc declines peacefully or stays flattish.

yup not looking too good for 48K anymore.