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Re: Is it worth coming back?
by
Xun hu
on 02/10/2025, 16:04:22 UTC
⭐ Merited by vapourminer (1)
This question’s on a lot of people’s minds “Is it worth coming back?”

The tech threads are still solid, there are youtube videos for newcomers, and moderation keeps things somewhat under control. anyone can pick the topics they like and just chill, make a little bubble or a close circle to chat with. honestly coming back is totally anyone’s call. some trash threads will pop up a bit of FUD here and there, but if anyone builds their own bubble they can still have fun.

yeah! If you’re curious to learn, want to have some fun, and pick your favorite topics, then coming back to the forum is worth it.
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Re: What is your take on Bitcoin Knotz? Bitcoin node and wallet by Luke Dashjr
by
Xun hu
on 02/10/2025, 12:37:41 UTC

Hmm thanks for breaking it down point by point
i went digging a bit after reading your reply

1. FYI some control of TX relay also possible on Bitcoin Core. Check https://jlopp.github.io/bitcoin-core-config-generator/ and see "Transaction Relay" section.
you’re right Bitcoin Core does have some relay controls. i checked the config generator and saw minrelaytxfee and limitfreerelay those can block low fee or free relay to some extent but it felt to me like Knots offers more granular options almost like a stricter mode compared to Core’s basic control.

2. If miner decide to include TX that deemed spam by you or Knots on their mined block, you can't avoid using some bandwidth and storage space.
That’s true if miners put it in their block i’ll have to download it no matter what no way around that. But from what i read Knots’ strict mempool policy helps at the relay stage by cutting down a lot of junk TX before they even reach my node. so bandwidth savings still exist even if block downloads can’t be avoided.

3. If you bother to run full node (without putting major limit to internet usage), AFAIK the bandwidth difference would be very small that most people wouldn't notice.
I kinda agree here too. for people running a node on unlimited broadband the difference might be too small to notice. But for folks on small VPS setups, capped data plans, or weaker connections, apparently it does make a difference. and during spam waves, strict relay policies actually help keep the node from choking too much so that part seemed pretty logical to me.
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Re: What is your take on Bitcoin Knotz? Bitcoin node and wallet by Luke Dashjr
by
Xun hu
on 02/10/2025, 08:50:13 UTC


Do you mind telling us the real practical benefits?

Oh i was just browsing and stumbled upon a page talking about Bitcoin Knots

something really caught my eye apparently anyone can control which transactions their node relays based on size or fee this seems super practical because it helps manage bandwidth, prevents your node from relaying spammy low-fee transactions and keeps everything running more smoothly. It’s a small tweak but I can see how it really makes running a node easier in the long run.
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Re: What is your take on Bitcoin Knotz? Bitcoin node and wallet by Luke Dashjr
by
Xun hu
on 02/10/2025, 08:06:00 UTC
Strict mempool policy actually filters out a lot of spam transactions which makes running a node long-term a bit easier. i used to think Knots was just about enforcing Luke’s personal ideology but now I see it actually has some real practical benefits.
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Re: Man with the highest IQ goes all in on Bitcoin
by
Xun hu
on 01/10/2025, 17:12:45 UTC
He’s super smart but that doesn’t mean he’s a perfect investor i mean history literally shows some geniuses made terrible financial decisions or died poor.
i guess the takeaway for me is just because someone crazy smart is buying BTC doesn’t mean we should go all in too. It’s a signal to research, think critically, and invest only what you can handle. There’s no shortcut to learning the market.
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Re: I don't understand the arguments for Bitcoin Core v30
by
Xun hu
on 01/10/2025, 14:48:04 UTC
2. People can already store arbitrary data, this will just make it easier!
The strength of that argument depends on what "easier" means.

In my opinion, the argument becomes strong if "easier" means "less costful for the nodes", not "easier for the data publishers". This is the case if you use OP_RETURN instead of the more costly "fake public keys" method known by NFT platforms like Bitcoin Stamps.

Reducing the costs for node operators should be paramount, because the lower that cost, the higher the degree of possible decentralization of the network.

Or to re-phrase it: if you can't avoid data storage, try data publishers to use the least harmful way for the nodes.

For all other points @achow101 has already provided an excellent answer.

As I posted in another related threads, I have however some reservations against the "total liberation" of the OP_RETURN limit in one single step. It is the easiest way to make that move and it seems to have been already decided, but as this discussion was very politized and generated a lot of drama, I am worried of some potential "revenge attack" once Core 30 gets published. A (standardness) limit to a single OP_RETURN of 512 or 1024 bytes and lifting in further versions would limit the potential of these possible attacks, without harming the "commitment" use case (of course: if somebody wants to attack, he can simply pay the miners, just like now). But of course as datacarriersize is still there every node can decide to set it to a value in that range.

I can see now why using OP RETURN is less costly for nodes and safer than fake pubkeys or inscriptions. but i’m wondering, does this incremental limit 512 → 1024 really make a big difference? i mean, if an attacker really wants to, they could just pay the fees and send multiple OP RETURNs anyway also, since some wallets or L2 solutions can batch or compress OP RETURN data the node impact can already be somewhat controlled does this limit actually change much?
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Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
Xun hu
on 30/09/2025, 14:42:28 UTC

You don't sound confused.

Sure you might have to practice with the ideas for a while and put such ideas into practice within your own life - without being flippant about it, and surely, you might be able to learn to take bitcoin and your cashflow seriously and even learn about bitcoin (and your own self - finances and psychology) along your journey into building up a bitcoin stash and strengthening your cashflow management systems and practices.  And, yeah, all of what you do may or may not end up improving your life and giving you more options by investing into bitcoin as compared to not investing into bitcoin, as you noted that possibility to be part of the mix of things that could end up happening in your life.  

You could make all kinds of great plans, and have everything going for you, and the next thing you know, you got hit by a bus and kilt.  You also could try to figure out some balance, and maybe you get hit by the bus and maybe you don't, and if you end up putting yourself in a better position 4-10 years down the road due to your balanced practices that involve investing, reasonably improved cashflow management practices and some kind of balanced consumption, then yeah, you may or may not be in a better place due to your various efforts.. and bitcoin may or may not be $1-10 million in 10 years.. .it could be ONLY $20k..  

You don't really know the future or the various outcomes, and what outcomes might be more likely than other outcomes, even though if you educate yourself on various matters related to the world, money bitcoin and other topics that might affect you, then you may well be able to put yourself in better positions that you are able to fit into a variety of possibilities, yet how you deal with these matters is in your hands, and what you consider would be the better ways to prepare yourself for a variety of future scenarios would also be within areas that you likely could control.

These are matters that are on you to figure out the various kinds of preparations in regards to attempting to control things that you are able to control and accounting for various possibilities of things that could come at you from things that you either cannot control or that you might only be able to partially control.   There is a mixed bag in life and some folks start out with better tools in their bag, and others are able to acquire some of the better tools along the way to improve their situation at various points along the way, even if there are a lot of challenges in the world and even some bad things going on too.

Hey thanks for breaking that down i think i kinda get it but i’m still feeling a bit fuzzy about balancing it all .
Like, i get that i should focus on controlling what i can control—cashflow, small Bitcoin stacking, and maybe not overthinking the rest but sometimes it feels overwhelming when i try to think 4–10 years ahead what if i mess up the balance early on?
Also, the bus metaphor hit me i guess life really can throw anything at you. So maybe it’s more about just starting small, practicing these habits, and seeing how things go over time?
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Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
Xun hu
on 30/09/2025, 14:07:56 UTC

Honestly, man, i still don’t fully get this whole “discretionary income” thing.  from what i understand  it’s just money you can lose without wrecking your life. So i’m sitting here thinking if i skip a pack of smokes and throw that into Bitcoin, ten years later maybe my lungs are healthier and my wallet’s fatter. Sounds like a win-win, right? but then the other side of me goes what if Bitcoin tanks? then i’ve got no smokes and no gains. Double loss that’s where the confusion kicks in.
one thing I am starting to realize, though, is that nobody’s saying “only invest” or “only live it up.” the real trick seems to be balance. like, say i skip a pizza today and toss that cash into Bitcoin  one day maybe that turns into enough for the whole family combo.

So yeah, i’m still a total newbie, half the time my thoughts are scrambled, but common sense tells me this: don’t blow all your extra cash, just mix it up a little fun, a little stackin.

Yea, even as we opine for a gradual stacking of stash, using your discretionary, i think it's not also out of place if one gets a little bit of fun too since one can't leave Live generally without giving oneself a treat sometimes. Live should be lived to the fullest. Some stash been accumulated, a little fun been grabbed alongside too wouldn't cause harm. Thats why the discretionary is highly recommended for accumulation, becauce, haven taking care of basic necessities, the left over at hand is your discretionary. What you use it for becomes your will. You can either decide to spend it on drinks at the bar, or some pizza or cigarettes, it's up to you and it's nothing. But at the same time, you can also decide to accumulate Bitcoin with it in fragments weekly or monthly as the case may be.

If you decide to spend it on self and pleasure, you get to enjoy it now and find out in the next 10-20 years or so, you have nothing solid in terms of finance or investments. But on the other hand, if you decide to invest some fraction of the same discretionary funds in Bitcoin, while still grabing little fun, at a long run, you must have saved or invested something tangible if your investment lasted for years(let's say 4-10 years or more).

Bitcoin has proven over the years to be a store of value and worth. Even though we might not predict perfectly where bitcoin would be in coming weeks, months or years, but the assurance of appreciation stands great. Imagine the price or value of Bitcoin in that last 10-15 ago, and check where it is now. You can see for yourself. Then imagine where it will be in the next 10 years or more. Sincerely, Bitcoin is going global, and we will only be fair to ourselves if we grab some Bitcoin to ourselves from our discretionary income and Hodl, even as we also think of having some fun too. We can't possibly miss out in any.


Hmm nicely explained mate i kinda feel the same too, because honestly sometimes it’s hard to just save and not enjoy life. like if I cut off every fun it gets boring, you know
But one thing i’m still wondering  let’s say i put a small portion weekly into Bitcoin from my leftover cash and still enjoy like a pizza or hangout once in a while do you think in the long run that tiny stacking really makes a difference?
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Re: I don't understand the arguments for Bitcoin Core v30
by
Xun hu
on 29/09/2025, 14:22:50 UTC
⭐ Merited by gmaxwell (1)
As I posted in another related threads, I have however some reservations against the "total liberation" of the OP_RETURN limit in one single step. It is the easiest way to make that move and it seems to have been already decided, but as this discussion was very politized and generated a lot of drama, I am worried of some potential "revenge attack" once Core 30 gets published

Already now and before any discussion started a very significant portion of hashpower had already removed the limit completely.  Which means anyone can just already embed whatever, the only reason your attacker would delay is because they're trying to contribute to a false and malicious attack that their action was somehow enabled by the newer software when the reality is that they can just do it right now. I don't mean via inscriptions (which, of course, also works), but just via op_return.

This is the product of having limits that are actively irrational for miners to impose, they'll go dig them out and when they do so they're are not likely to expend a lot of time balancing concerns.  Policy can be useful but it doesn't stand against economic demand.

Of course, it would be nice to deny dishonest enemies of Bitcoin that misinformation opening.  Unfortunately, since a big reason to make the change is to make relay and mining more consistent again in order to stop screwing up block propagation/etc. they need to actually be made consistent.  Imposing a 250 byte limit while significant miners impose no limit doesn't achieve that end.

Similar, the alternatives to using op_return such as fake pubkeys or inscriptions also have no such limit.  So to the extent that the reason for removing the limit is because it's better for the network to use op_returns than other means, that isn't helped by limiting op_return.  The people behind the opposition know this, or otherwise they'd propose a consensus change to just preclude larger opreturns--  that limit would actually work in the sense that it couldn't be bypassed by miners, but it would be outright harmful since it would just divert usage to fake pubkeys or other more harmful approach.

So really it doesn't make logical sense increase the limit less [1], it wouldn't even be a narrative win because people would just jump on these logical inconsistencies.  And since the opposition is heavily relying on misinformation and outright lies, they'd probably *still* do the same attack and claim it was a result of the change-- clearly they can convince a lot of people with arguments to emotion that simply disregard the facts.


[1] technically it's still limited, but the limit is the same as the size for a standard transaction.


Wow, that really cleared up a lot about OP RETURN limits and miner behavior i didn’t know miners could already bypass the old limits and that using OP RETURN is actually safer than fake pubkeys or inscriptions. mind blowing!
Also i just learned something new: some wallets and layer-2 solutions can batch or compress OP RETURN data before broadcasting that might make the impact on nodes even smaller than we’ve been discussing.
network efficiency really has so many moving parts slowly getting the hang of it
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Re: $BTC is back testing the $109K–110K zone.
by
Xun hu
on 28/09/2025, 15:29:57 UTC
if we go down to 105k, its most likely an indicator of bigger investors vacuuming up longs before pushing for $150k - we hope this is the case as it would fit well into the 4 year cycle where Sept the following year of the halving is dead and October sees a big push.... (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - SIMPLY SPECULATION)

Those 4 years cycle was already broken. The current price movement is already doesn’t follow that cycle imho.

There’s a big difference on crypto regulation between now and the past, we already have institutional traders and governments that invest on Bitcoin that gives us assurance that the price will not collapse the way in the past.

There’s still chance for a dip below 90K but not way lower like the previous ATH at 60K+.


The cycle has changed since the bitcoin ETF was approved but it is not completely broken, and it is still too early to say it is broken. We need to wait at least until the year ends, and if bear season doesn't come, we can confirm that the old cycle is no longer accurate.

Cryptocurrency regulation and institutional involvement is the assurance to the market that it has become much safer. But in my opinion, that is not enough to guarantee that the market will not collapse the way in the past. It will all depend on what caused the bear season, and if it was a black swan, such as a recession. The market will collapse in the same way, even more severely than in the past.


Whoa i think i’m getting lost a bit so you’re saying the ETF kinda changed the cycle, but it’s not totally broken yet, right? so we still have to wait until the year ends to see if the old 4-year pattern still makes sense.
I mean i get that regulations and institutional investors make the market feel safer but i’m still kinda worried what if some random black swan hits like a recession? Could Bitcoin still dip hard even now?
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Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
by
Xun hu
on 28/09/2025, 13:46:27 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

The reason that discretionary income involves money that you can afford to lose because you make a choice.

Discretionary income can be spent on anything whether investment, consumption or savings, so you can choose to totally gamble it away, if you like.

You may well make a choice to invest into bitcoin with all of your discretionary income or you might choose some portion of that discretionary income to go into investing rather than buying cigarrettes..  and yeah, cigarrettes are equally valid if a person chooses to use his discretionary income to buy cigarrettes  and perhaps some other thriller, exciting and expensive habits that a person might have.

The person with the expensive habits might find that when he arrives 10 years down the road that he had not made any financial progress in life.  He thought that he was happy with his various expensive habits, yet maybe 10 years down the road he is in his 50s rather than his 40s, and he is finding that his income is going down or he is not able to earn as much money, and even though he had a lot of fun in his youth, he has nothing to show for it.

He made choices when he was in his 20s, 30s and 40s, and some people choose to focus on investing, others choose to focus on consuming  and perhaps some choose to focus on saving, yet if they kept their money in cash rather than assets (such as bitcoin), then they might find that their savings did not appreciate in value and instead it lost value... so we make choices, and there are consequences to our choices, and discretionary money means that we can choose to do whatever we like whether it is investment consumption or savings.

I would not say to do only one of them, yet we can figure out out to strike a balance since we likely need to bring ourselves some pleasures, yet if our budget is tight, we might have to choose to figure out how to prioritize investing, even if investing means that we won't be able to consume as much in the present.

None of us can tell anyone else whether to prioritize cigarettes over investing... and part of the idea of discretionary is that we can do what we like with it, which is a reason why some folks refer to discretionary income as disposable income... meaning we can throw it away if we like, and when we invest into bitcoin maybe we might think that we are throwing it away, and we are willing to wait 4-10 years or longer before we will start to cash in on the investment, and we are not guaranteed to be in profits, but we invest into something like bitcoin that we believe is more likely to be profitable than not.
You’re absolutely right, discretionary income is quite discrete which is why it’s something that we can easily afford to do whatever we feel like doing with our discretionary income, it’s quite our own responsibility to decide whatever we feel it’s comfortable for us to deal with it, an individual can always choose to gamble with it with playing whatever they feel like doing with their discretionary income and they can also choose to save the money somewhere in the bank that will not have any future interest unlike bitcoin that we would have opportunities for future interest, Some individuals save them as fiat money and also be thinking of having fun with their discretionary income, like buying expensive clothes and shoes and also buying cars and living an expensive lifestyle, or be clubbing with their discretionary income, but the truth is that Bitcoin doesn’t stop and individual from living their life or probably be enjoying their life as they feel like doing or doing whatever that makes them happy like going for basketball games or soccer games, but it’s important and necessary for an individual to consider his life choices and decision, because there will be a time where we would definitely have to think about the choices that we have made when we were younger and then when we get older what would have become our decision and choices that we made when we were young, so using our discretionary income with something reasonable like buying and investing into bitcoin which would be a good decision for a lifetime.

However we know there are people who can constantly have a discretionary income and have this basic expenses but we should consider not making a mistakes that will affect our lives in a long term, and also we can try to strike a balance with our lifestyle and our basic expenses because investing in bitcoin doesn’t stop us from having a good fun life, which is why we are investing in bitcoin with our discretionary income and we can possibly have control of this funds instead of the money to control our decisions, as an individual I can possibly consider buying bitcoin with my discretionary income instead of appreciating whichever possible lifestyle and might seems like we are throwing money away, then we can decide to invest with some of this discretionary income, because we might not possibly invest all our discretionary income, but if I decide to invest with all my discretionary income and I know it’s sustainable that is also quite good, then as an investor I can decide to invest in bitcoin for one or two circles depending on my lifetime goals and plans which will be a better decision of holding bitcoin for a long term, instead of throwing our discretionary income into something that would seems like we’re wasting our money on unnecessary spending and then we are making mistakes, well I must say right now that I’m in my accumulation journey I shouldn’t be having any time to appreciate lifestyle choices, instead I would prioritize buying more bitcoin and doing it more aggressively with caution.


Honestly, man, i still don’t fully get this whole “discretionary income” thing.  from what i understand  it’s just money you can lose without wrecking your life. So i’m sitting here thinking if i skip a pack of smokes and throw that into Bitcoin, ten years later maybe my lungs are healthier and my wallet’s fatter. Sounds like a win-win, right? but then the other side of me goes what if Bitcoin tanks? then i’ve got no smokes and no gains. Double loss that’s where the confusion kicks in.
one thing I am starting to realize, though, is that nobody’s saying “only invest” or “only live it up.” the real trick seems to be balance. like, say i skip a pizza today and toss that cash into Bitcoin  one day maybe that turns into enough for the whole family combo.

So yeah, i’m still a total newbie, half the time my thoughts are scrambled, but common sense tells me this: don’t blow all your extra cash, just mix it up a little fun, a little stackin.
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Re: Are you satisfied with the outcome of this bull run?
by
Xun hu
on 27/09/2025, 16:45:17 UTC
Recently, there have been some different views from analysts about the duration of the bull run. Some of them claimed that the Bull run is over and we might be entering another bear market. While others believe that the bull market is not yet over and might last till next year. These arguments are not the reason for this discussion.

Before this bull run, there were diverse predictions about the price Bitcoin would reach. The most popular one was $100k and others also felt it would go above that amount. Bitcoin's ATH stands at $124,290.93.

In your own view, do you think Bitcoin performed below or above your expectations in this bull run?     



Okay, i’ll be honest, i’m still a total noob trying to figure out this Bitcoin bull run 😅। Everyone was talking $100K, $150K, maybe even $200K, and here we are hitting $124K+ as ATH. personally, i’m like wow, that’s kinda above what i expected, but also, i barely understand why it jumped this much or what all the analysts are yammering about. I mean, I’m just staring at charts like,  is this normal?
and sometimes feel like Bitcoin is laughing at me.
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Re: 100 Push-Ups Per Day Until Bitcoin Is £100K Challenge
by
Xun hu
on 27/09/2025, 16:28:42 UTC
Man, it’s been like two months since I last did push-ups. Getting back into it was rough, but honestly, it felt kinda good knowing it’s worth it. Hoping I can get back to my old level soon. First day I cranked out 12, then only managed to add 2 more the next day—26 in two days so far


100k,Xun Hu,02,26,2025-09-27
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Re: 100 Push-Ups Per Day Until Bitcoin Is £100K Challenge
by
Xun hu
on 25/09/2025, 16:05:18 UTC
Alright, so here’s the deal—I stumbled across this “100 Push-Ups A Day Until Bitcoin Hits £100K” thing, and I’m not sure if I should laugh or cry. Like, mate, my arms start shaking around push-up number eight. Not even kidding. But whatever, right? No one’s out here expecting you to crank out a hundred straight away—just give it a go. I usually just match my reps to whatever price BTC’s sitting at. So if it’s £65K, boom, 65 push-ups and I’m done (or, well, gasping on the floor). Watching everyone else post their sweaty attempts and hilarious fails makes me feel way less alone in my struggle. Hey, at least we’re all flopping together.
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Re: Can Bitcoin price increase by 3.68% and reach $119974.35 by 23 september 2025 ?
by
Xun hu
on 24/09/2025, 15:18:57 UTC
Love the curiosity here—digging into forecasts and asking “is this possible?” is exactly how you start thinking like a proper Bitcoin participant. About that $119,974 prediction… well, let’s be real: BTC doesn’t follow a calendar. A 3–4% move in a day? Totally possible—we’ve seen single-day swings of 5–10% before. But hitting an exact number on an exact date? That’s rare. Right now, BTC’s holding $111k–$112k as support and $118k–$119k as resistance. Break through $119k with strong buying pressure, and a short-term jump above $120k could happen—but nothing’s guaranteed. Market sentiment, news, whale moves—they matter more than any decimal-point forecast. Think of predictions like ideas, not financial GPS.

Bottom line: Keep questioning, keep analyzing. The numbers may move, but your understanding is what actually grows.
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Topic OP
Newbie Guide to Bitcointalk.org
by
Xun hu
on 24/09/2025, 14:38:04 UTC
Alright, so here’s the deal. I dipped my toe into Bitcointalk.org recently and, wow, it’s like wandering into a crypto version of The Matrix. I mean, can we talk about the sea of posts? Feels like everyone’s been living there since Satoshi himself was around, while I’m just tripping over my own shoelaces.

So, here’s my two satoshis on surviving as a newbie:

1. Actually read. No, really.
Don’t just scroll and play “Where’s Waldo” with buzzwords. When you check out threads like “Trader’s Lounge” or “Altcoin Discussion,” dig a little. Ask yourself why those grizzled veterans say what they do—it’s not always basic stuff. Sometimes, a throwaway comment is a gold nugget in disguise.

2. Ask questions, but don’t be that guy.
Please, for the love of all things crypto, check if someone’s already asked. The search function exists for a reason. And if you do ask—short, sweet, and to the point. Polite works wonders, you know?

3. Even tiny wins count.
Just grabbed your first tiny slice of BTC? Struggled through your first trade and only lost, like, three bucks? Say it! There’s no “rookie shame.” People actually notice when you show up often and share, even if you think your story’s minor.

4. Don’t be a spam bot.
Keep the posts relevant. Nobody wants to listen to someone spewing nonsense about their new YouTube channel or whatever. It’s a forum, not your personal promo stage. Plus, following the rules = people actually take you seriously.

5. Stick around.
You don’t have to camp there all day, but 10 minutes here, 20 minutes there, and boom—suddenly, people know your name. The random guy in the crowd? Now you’ve got regulars nodding at your posts.

Seriously, if you’re sweating just reading all this, chill. Every one of those forum legends started somewhere. Dive in, mess up a little, ask your “dumb” questions (they’re not), and just keep showing up. That’s pretty much the cheat code for most things in life anyway, isn’t it?
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Re: Everything you wanted to know about Bitcoin Strategic Reserve.
by
Xun hu
on 16/01/2025, 18:56:43 UTC
Several countries have either established or are considering the creation of strategic Bitcoin reserves:

Amongst the established Bitcoin Reserves:
  • El Salvador: In September 2021, El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender. Since then, the Government has accumulated approximately 5,940 bitcoins, valued at around $582 million as of November 2024. They perform both open market purchases (they are buying one bitcoin per day since) and mining operations.
  • Bhutan: The Kingdom of Bhutan has been mining Bitcoin using its hydroelectric resources since 2019. More info can be read here : Bhutan Built A Bitcoin Mine On The Site Of Its Failed' Education City.
    As of November 2024, Bhutan holds about 12,211 bitcoins worth over $1 billion.
    Contrary to other nations, Bhutan has been quite active in the market, regularly selling the Bitcoin they mined

Some other nations have proposed to instate a domestic SBR:

  • Brazil: In November 2024, Brazilian Congressman Eros Biondini, a Brazilian Congressman, proposed a bill to create a Sovereign Strategic Reserve of Bitcoins (RESBit). The proposal involved buying Bitcoin up to 5% of Brazil's international reserves. The initiative seeks to reduce the fluctuation of Brazilian real estate in order to protect the economy and develop resilience.
  • Poland: Presidential candidate Sławomir Mentzen has advocated for the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, along with implementing crypto-friendly regulations to attract investment and increase financial flexibility.
    https://talkimg.com/images/2024/12/09/p5aUZ.png
  • Russia: Anton Tkachev has proposed accumulating cryptocurrencies in the state treasury, viewing digital assets as potential alternatives to the US dollar in international transactions and tackling the sanctions. Russia has been a heavy gold buyer during the last few years.
    Russian Lawmaker Proposes Creating Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Report
     

I think more countries are starting to see Bitcoin as a legitimate asset. El Salvador took the first big step by adopting Bitcoin as legal tender in 2021, they holding over 5,900 BTC. Bhutan has also jumped on the bandwagon, mining Bitcoin with its clean energy, accumulating more than 12,000 BTC so far.

Countries like Brazil, Poland, and Russia are exploring how they could use Bitcoin to strengthen their financial systems. Brazil, for example, is even thinking about adding Bitcoin to its reserves to help stabilize its economy. Russia views Bitcoin as a way to fight sanctions and reduce dependence on the dollar.

I think it’s clear—Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative investment. It’s becoming a key piece of the financial puzzle for nations. Who knows? More countries might follow suit soon.
[/list]
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Re: Buy Buy Buy or Sell Sell Sell?
by
Xun hu
on 16/01/2025, 15:04:47 UTC
There are a large number of diptwats, and even people who seem smart, who fuck around trading in and out of bitcoin based on their dumb ideas in regards to various manipulated metrics like bitcoin dominance, and so yeah, through bitcoin's history there has been a lot of people trying to sound smart in their descriptions of how their perceptions of how "bitcoin dominance" has changed over the years or during certain "seasons."
I agree with your statement, although I believe that the act of buying and selling by traders is a personal matter, but universally it brings harmful results. However, since there is freedom in the field of trading, traders should analyze other effective metrics for market analysis, such as on-chain data, fundamental analysis, trading volume, liquidity, and others, in addition to Bitcoin dominance, to make informed decisions.

Yes... so many traders either think that they are smart or that they can figure out how to trade in a way that is more profitable than if they had not fucked around with trading, when the facts of the matter remains that trading is ultimately a losing game for an overwhelming majority of normies.. so it remains way better to presume an inability to beat the market than presumptively expecting that you have any meaningful odds of beating it, especially when dealing with one of the best if not the best of assets that man has seen (namely bitcoin), so instead of remaining and accumulating value within a sure bet (or a pretty damned good bet), way too many normies fantasize that they can do even better by selling high and buying back lower, and it is a pretty rare trader that actually is able to beat  a bitcoin investor who had mostly focused on accumulating and holding.. especially the longer the timeline the more likely that a trader has not even come close to the level of returns of holding and accumulating bitcoin, and really why would you?  You have a sure bet (or pretty damned good bet) by buying bitcoin and you want to be smart ass and think that you can do better, and what you going to do?  Tell others that they can do better also.  What a bunch of nonsense.

By the way dominance is a dumb metric, and shows that you ar likely distracted into dumb things, including shitcoins, and yeah guys try to get in and out of shitcoins, since they are so smart and they think that they have it figured out or they will be able to get lucky or they have "insider information", but really largely a losing game full of distractions and nonsensical fantasies of getting rich quick.

Let me give you a bitcoin specific example.

What if you have a guy who is pretty consistent in his investing into bitcoin, and he decided that he was going to invest into bitcoin over two whole cycles, and he had invested into bitcoin over the past 8 years at $200 per week, which would have had been $83.6k invested over 8 years, and right now he would have about 10.347 BTC which have a spot price value of about $1 million (about 12x in profits) and a 200-WMA value of about $450k (about 5.4x in profits).. and surely either way, those are good returns, and you expect to be able to get returns better than that? 

You think that you can beat those returns or that you need to beat those kinds of returns?  Why get greedy? and bitcoin is not showing itself as being any worse investment right now as compared to what it was 8 years ago, even if some of the upside might not be as high as it was, yet bitcoin still has a lot of ongoing upward potential and remains amongst the best of investments (if not the best) currently available across the whole planet for anyone figuring out ways to source their BTC purchases, build their BTC stash size and hold through years, such as 4-10 years or more.  When investing long term, we can consider upside and downside risks and/or benefits, and we can consider that the future is not guaranteed so we have to figure out our position size and our method in such a way to figure out whether our having had invested into bitcoin is likely to give us more options or not, and hopefully we don't screw up a good potential investment by fucking around and trying to trade it... but yeah, people can do what they like.

Whether this particular guy from my example has enough bitcoin or not or maybe he wants to keep accumulating bitcoin at this time, yet his having had built a bitcoin stash that is more than 10 BTC is in a pretty good place with the amount of capital that he had invested so far.

[edited out]
The example you showed above is totally different from what you are arguing about. The people who invested in bitcoin when the price was still at $60k didn't just wake up and invest in bitcoin, and all of a sudden the price surged to $100k. They had held their bitcoin for a long time before they were able to witness the $100k price. Bitcoin is not a pump-and-dump coin that you expect to get huge profit in a short term after investing your money in it. You have to hold your bitcoin for at least 4 years before you can see the profit you are talking about. And you shouldn't invest in bitcoin because you heard that someone made huge profits from it. You should invest in bitcoin at you own will, and before you invest in bitcoin, you should understand that bitcoin is volatile in nature and is not a quick way to get rich, so that when you start investing in bitcoin and the price drops, you will not panic and sell your bitcoin at a loss because you already know that is the nature of bitcoin, and with time it will increase again to the level where you will be in profit.

Not only do normies tend to sell too many bitcoin too soon, they also frequently fail/refuse to stay focused on consistently buying bitcoin over years and years, and surely it seems quite likely that if a guy is building up his bitcoin investment for years and years, then he is likely going to have more options, and does not have to get worked up about trying to time some up and down price waves or even worry himself about bitcoin volatility, even though sure bitcoin is quite likely going to continue to be volatile for many years to come, and so any person geting into bitcoin and staying in bitcoin likely has to figure the volatility into his management of his own systems of continuing to buy bitcoin and/or his psychological expectations about the value of his holdings changing based on ongoing expected changes (perhaps even inevitable changes) in bitcoin prices in the coming 5-20 years and further into the future.

It's true that many people get distracted by the idea of beating the market, but as you rightly pointed out, consistent long-term holding and accumulation of Bitcoin often yield the best results. Trading in and out based on market metrics like dominance or short-term trends often leads to losses for most. Bitcoin’s volatility can be tough, but staying patient and focused on long-term goals is key. The real power lies in understanding Bitcoin’s potential over years, not just focusing on short-term fluctuations.
Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Buy every dip!
by
Xun hu
on 16/01/2025, 12:12:07 UTC

Always buying at the considered dip requires extra ammos. This will be tough for an average bitcoiner.

What makes people refrain from doing buying action during every dip is confusion and doubt. Analyzing the current trend is one of the recipes in making a speculation which will result on next strategy. At most of the cases, if we say today is downtrend, it will be the case that will lasts for long period. But sometimes, people doesn't think of other way around that even how powerful a trend is, it can be reversed anytime.

So what to do now? Trust your judgement if it was properly analyzed. After all, if the purpose is really to HODL for long, people can considered every price level as dipping level*.
Buying during a dip requires confidence and patience. Analyzing market trends is key, but remember, even strong trends can reverse unexpectedly. When aiming for long-term HODLing, every price point can be seen as an opportunity. Instead of focusing on short-term fluctuations, it's about trusting your strategy and seeing dips as potential buying chances rather than setbacks.
Post
Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: Telegram scammers targeting users with malware
by
Xun hu
on 16/01/2025, 08:30:35 UTC
Honestly speaking, the telegram has now become the den of hackers and scammers that even a chat from strangers is very suspicious that needs to be extremely careful and cautious. Clicking on links sent to your dm should be avoided especially when you are recieving it from an unknown account that you have never chatted in the past. Always remember that admin or mods do not dm first on telegram channels or groups so if anyone dm you claiming what they are not, you have every right to report and block them right the way. Your safety should be your concern so as to protect yourself from scammers and hackers. Do not chat with strangers as they may lure you into clicking link sent to you all in the name of wanting to help you resolve an issues in diguse to be admins and mods.

This is not new and it happens long time ago. This is also the reason why I don't like to use that platform since anyone can create the same name with famous people that's why lots of people get exploited and scammed especially if they are new then didn't know that such activities happened there.

That's why its really good to verify always who are those people reaching you out since once you post something in the community you are following for sure that you receive a lot of message from scammers so better not to entertain any of those. Then also remember the word that admin on groups will never send you pm first usually the people do that are frauds.
I agree with everything you've mentioned. It's crucial to be cautious when using Telegram, especially because scammers often impersonate trusted figures like admins or mods. The deceptive tactics are widespread, and it’s alarming how easy it is for scammers to create fake accounts with familiar names, tricking unsuspecting people, especially newcomers. It's a good habit to verify who’s reaching out to you, and remember that admins rarely initiate direct messages. Always be skeptical and avoid engaging with unknown contacts. Staying alert is the best defense in such environments.