9666

That would be really terrible and a "nail on the coffin" of ICOs (remember that WAVES was a high profile ICO).

To the OP: i can see why you are so enthusiastic on the one hand..on the other why can't you see the apparent weakness of the management team and especially the marketing & strategy activities? WAVES, has missed many many intermediate rallies when the circumstances were much favorable (series of bad management decisions) and there is no reason to cheer as of it growing currently. (to me this odd increase seems fishy).

Also your basic argumentation (e.g. " it is just a matter of time for people to see what WAVES is") gives me the sense of a belief/hope rather than a conslusion backed with some evidence. Have you done any research on the adoption of WAVES (in reaL life projects) as this is what utterly will lead a sustainable price.?

That is one excellent analysis OP, it may never happen but you do try to prepare yourself for most of the outcomes. Although i would not expect BTC lower than 1000 i would expect it (by 20% chances) at around the previous official ATH (~1300), so just in case i have some orders there waiting. I think you have missed one factor; the new futures market. As with CBOE the great bear started, it may be the opposite now. with BAKKT the great bull starts. If the big boys are officially in to make big money thay will try to destroy as many as possible before that (old hodlers). So yeah i tend to agree with your theory on this.

Also another factor not put into the analysis is the oncoming regulation. I suspect BTC will "sell its soul" to its enemy (the state) in order to gain legitimacy. If this is true then with legitimacy you have tax implications that will most propably induce stability on the price (no more big candles). unless you have a well working futures market for hedging. and this are the pieces that we are seeing played out now. (this is just a theory and not knowledge).

Imagine you were one of those institutional guys (which already are unofficially in BTC). WOuld you trust your funds into an instrument that can tank because for example two morons decided to do a hard fork some time? Or that the price can tank just because a kiddo was playing with the security of some exchange and managed to hack it? just two of the numerous "childhood diseases" of btc.

I would like your opinions on two thoughts:
1. I have seen many many BTC corrections throughout the past years. But what has particularly struck me in this one is the absence of any buybacks or even temporary relief rallies, no matter the time frame. It is a bit strange to me and makes me think whether this time it is different. TA is not very much respected (well it was never too much respected to begin with with BTC) but especially after breaking the 6Ks there is hardly any buing reaction, like a patient that is already clinically dead but still supported from machines..

2. Who is selling? It is hard to believe that all this is panic selling from "noobs". Some dumps are way too orchestrated and timely. When did all this selling power build up? The only normal explanation i could find is basically an assumption: whether bad legal or tax news lie ahead so "big boys" are cashing out. And i do not even mention some of the other alts that look like they will give the ultimate fight for their very existence.

My conclusion is that it looks like a shakeup, a clearing phase. Just like the burst of .com, which enabled the rebirth of some champions. I hope BTC will be there in the next phase as well and not be replaced by some government backed BTC-clones.

if i put all these together, this correction "smells" differently. i am not sure btc will rebound any time soon (and i mean in 2019-2020). And not by any considerable amount.

Longs are a bit stupid guys in such a market. Instead og going after a falling knife there could be a better strategy: remove all longs up to e.g. 10$. All these morrons that are selling would suddenly sell much lower (only shorters would win big) but longs would then win big x multiple times. and that way the bottom would have been reached quickly enough.

agreed. this fall was mostly unexpected or perhaps of a smaller intensity. However observe around you...it is not only crypto falling. Look at stocks as well. it seems like a controlled "de-bubbling" going on. Possibly crypto is the canary in the mine that goes down first. There seems to be a global withdrawal of liquidity from risky assets. Why? The million dollar question...some black swan event coming?

why not? there is hardly any argument to avoid this even if it is in a form of a flash crash. to me it is propable by slighly more than 50% in the next 6 months.

IMO the bitcoin price will touch (or go closer) to the previous historical ATH (that is around ~1500), not directly but in due time. reasons for that are several but you may observe that there are several bad politics within the community and some ruthless players. that is before the real gangsters kick in (i.e. wall street in an official way). a lot of "old" capital has to be washed out before starting the new bull cycle again. it may do some temporary stops at 4500-5000 or 3000 but my buys would be set as low as i described. btc is a marathon and not a speed run. also take in mind that a lot of capital that is allocated in many many other non viable coins somehow has to go somewhere. my 2 cents.

i think this https://www.ccn.com/tokens-continue-to-take-a-hit-is-sec-preparing-to-target-crypto-projects/article sheds some dim light on what is going on...the selling pressure is relentless and orchestrated. certainly it is not bch drama, too ridiculous a reason. however if sec is very very close to "having talks" with some exchanges (and thus insiders may be dumping using bch as a curtain) than we may be one step closer to the death of the centralized exchanges in the form we know them. i would appreciate your thoughts.

α ρε bitcoin-άκι...πάνω κει που πας να κατακτήσεις τον κόσμο δίνεις λαβή στον κάθε hater να σε λοιδωρεί..(και δεν θα τους αδικήσω 100%). καταλαβαίνετε τώρα ίσως ότι δεν χρειάζεται καμια κυβέρνηση να το επιτρέψει η να το banarei. το πιο εύκολο είναι να το κάνεις εκ των έσω (να παίζεις τόσο πολύ τραμπάλα με την τιμή που κανείς δεν θα το θέλει να το χρησιμοποιήσει λόγω αυτού).

btw έτσι για την πλάκα που βλέπετε να είναι ο αποκαλούμενος και πάτος; (προσωπικά θα δω πως θα συμεριφερθεί εδώ, μέχρι εδώ το ανέμενα αν και με ξάφνιασε λίγο το bearstamp να ηγείται)

μου φάνηκε καλό σαν ανάλυση (ή συγκεκαλυμένη ανάλυση του μέλλοντος σκέφτομαι εγώ πονηρά), διαλέχτε και πέρνετε!!

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/bitcoin-price-analysis-preparing-hard-fork-eventualities/

Καλημέρα σε όλα τα παιδιά και ιδίως όσους γνώρισα στην fosscom. Παιδιά ξέρετε να υπάρχει κάπου κανα thread με επιχειρηματικές ιδέες για btc εδώ στην Ελλάδα; πχ θα μπορούσε το site να χρησιμοποιηθεί έτσι

+1. After following BTC for almost 2 years (but have never written here before) i feel sad to observe that although this marvelous product of human intellect has been developing and increased its reputation it comes across basic human disadvantages like greed and FUD spread, which is almost impossible to beat. The more idealists of the community should understand that the "rosy" days are probably over. A lot of things need to happen first if the BTC is to have any real meaning in the real world (i mean on a mass scale). And one of the prime is to shed more light into all these shady businesses the so called "exchanges". By definition an exchange is used to exchange one thing for another. Their current behavior (not ignoring their past one) creates artificial lack of either fiat or BTC distorting completely the "market" ( or this ultra fully manipulated thing that is called the market - combine it with all bad news coming out all of a sudden)