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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 05/05/2025, 13:17:10 UTC


Binance co-founder CZ proposes Bitcoin, BNB for Kyrgyzstan reserves

Kyrgyzstan signed a memorandum of understanding with Binance to launch Binance Pay in the country.

--snip--

The proposal followed Zhao’s earlier announcement that he had begun advising Kyrgyzstan’s National Investment Agency (NIA) on blockchain and crypto-related matters.

On April 3, Zhao confirmed he’s been officially and unofficially advising governments on crypto frameworks and blockchain solutions. The former Binance CEO said that he finds the work extremely meaningful.

Who could imagine CZ would push BNB of all crapto?
Surprising...
/s
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 04/05/2025, 16:54:12 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

A thinner market
Fewer entities. Larger.
Pop, mom, where are you?







#haiku
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 04/05/2025, 12:29:25 UTC

Alright, test number two!

You guys will have to register again, though...

The following is a Bot of BTC/USD paper-trading (fake trading)
You can also use it in the Telegram group community chat but try not to spam.
The community chat is mostly for flexxing and announcing winners.

Bot (for trading)
--> Paper Trading Bot

Group chat (for chatting, but you can also use the bot's commands in here too, but try not to spam)
--> WO Challenge Community Chat


have fun, the current challenge ends on the 10th of may. Lets see who is the best trader here!

-----------
Could you add a command to change our name, so the real telegram handle isn't shown? Opsec.
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Merits 3 from 3 users

Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 03/05/2025, 15:04:38 UTC
⭐ Merited by Hueristic (1) ,xhomerx10 (1) ,OutOfMemory (1)

Quote
Scientists Discover a Fungus That Produces Real Gold — And You Can Grow It at Home
https://techoreon.com/discovery-of-fungus-producing-real-gold-grow-at-home/
sadly, it doesn't actually turn other metals into gold
massive amounts of energy required
You weren't expecting a nuclear mushroom were you?
(Not Hiroshima - I mean a fungus that enacts nuclear reactions by moving protons and neutrons from one atom to the next.)

It essentially catalyzes this reaction somehow:
Au(s) + O2- + 2 H2O(l) = Au(OH)4-  (log K25 = -1.91)
Ah, well, disappointing indeed.

maybe in old mines that the previous tech didn't allow for a final refining process?
Or feeding it tons and tons of sea water? That's the first source of gold on earth, as I suspect many of us know. Unfortunately, it's so diluted that we'd need a really huge pile of hungry fungus, without any cardiac problems, so not afraid of a salt-rich diet.

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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 03/05/2025, 14:08:15 UTC

Katie Hobbs vetoed the AZ Strategic Bitcoin Reserve! What a worthless corrupt Governor we have.

You counted your fucking chickens before they hatched.

Damn you Og.

seriously all the government connections to etc is a way to control it and tie it down.

So they (the government) can show they have the power not the people.

If (when!) the pensioners realize that the pension fund allocation to bitcoin would have doubled in value, they won't be happy though.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 03/05/2025, 12:26:08 UTC

@goldkingcoiner, bot dead? I wanted to buy a little dip...
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 02/05/2025, 22:29:13 UTC
⭐ Merited by vapourminer (1)

The gold re-evaluation thing as an accounting trick
I saw it mentioned first just before Orange Man took office
I think it was Hayes's blog

Here, found it. December 18, 2024. It might have been mentioned by someone else earlier on, during sleepy Joe's reign, but it wouldn't have had the same resonance.

Currently, gold is valued at $42.22/oz on the American balance sheet. Technically speaking, the Treasury issues a gold certificate to the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which the Treasury values at $42.22/oz.

Suppose Bessent can convince the US Congress to change the statutory price of gold, thus devaluing the dollar vs. gold. In that case, the Treasury’s General Account (TGA) at the Fed receives a dollar credit, which can be spent on the economy. The larger the devaluation, the higher the TGA balance immediately grows.

This makes sense because, essentially, dollars are being created out of thin air by valuing gold at a specific price. Every $3,824/oz increase in the statutory price of gold generates a $1 trillion increase in the TGA. For example, adjusting the carrying cost to the current spot price of gold would generate a $695 billion TGA credit.

(My emphasis)

Keep in mind Bessent is the puppet master now.  Powell is dubbed towel boy (or worse) because he can't and won't do much, despite the apparent position of absolute power he seems to hold. It's the curse of the Fed chair: nominally independent, but factually in serfdom to politics.

Personally, I don't think this will happen. There are subtler ways of printing without printing, and my guess is they will be picked over the very apparent and likely too noisy gold accounting trick.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 02/05/2025, 20:50:15 UTC

This might be *nohomo*, but the cock flavor thingy is a turnoff anyway.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 02/05/2025, 20:26:05 UTC
⭐ Merited by vapourminer (1)

The gold re-evaluation thing as an accounting trick (without actually selling any), I saw it mentioned first just before Orange Man took office. I think it was Hayes's blog - one of my preferred sources for macro analysis - but I wouldn't bet my family jewels on that. At any rate, it's not a new idea, as it's been mentioned several times after Biden went to sleep.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 02/05/2025, 18:03:40 UTC
⭐ Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

The Global M2 Money Supply vs BTC correlation (with a lag) is running perfectly still. $150,000+ by mid July?

I can definitely live with that.

....

I might even buy 2-3 chickens so I can have egg in my ramen every single day! ......what time to be alive!

 That reminds me, we couldn't even find let alone afford eggs to dye for Easter this year, so we used small potatoes instead.



Thrifty bitcoiners rule.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 02/05/2025, 10:16:47 UTC

I just did a little math and looked over the MSTR NASDAQ inclusion data. I was a bit shocked at my conclusion. I think that Bitcoin will peak the week before MSTR is included in the S&P 500. This will likely be the week before the Q3 rebalancing that occurs on September 19th (it will be announced on September 5th kicking off the mother of all FOMO).

What shocked me about this was that it aligns perfectly with my prior prediction that the price of Bitcoin will peak on September 16th based on the 4 year cycle.

I think we could be seeing another perfect storm with Trump continuously mentioning August as a timeline to fix the tax code. Maybe we see the US government buy 200,000 BTC at the same time the S&P 500 funds are acquiring Bitcoin?

September 16th. Watch for it.

Bold prediction, bullish as we like it here, and decently underpinned by facts and factoids. Quoted for reference, merited for support!
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Merits 2 from 2 users

Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 02/05/2025, 07:28:47 UTC
⭐ Merited by Hueristic (1) ,JayJuanGee (1)

The Global M2 Money Supply vs BTC correlation (with a lag) is running perfectly still. $150,000+ by mid July?

I can definitely live with that.

....

I might even buy 2-3 chickens so I can have egg in my ramen every single day! ......what time to be alive!

You mean 2 or 3? The profligacy... some people are shameless!
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 01/05/2025, 22:25:03 UTC
⭐ Merited by goldkingcoiner (1)

Hey guys I made a fun bot that I might use for trading contests.

If anyone wants to try it out (for free - aka paper trading)
I would appreciate the testers and their feedback. Smiley

Telegram bot: @goldkingcoiners_bot

There are only 7 secret usernames, so reserve yours fast! First come first served!


Secret Usernames: goldfish, goldnugget, goldrush, goldmember, goldentoast, golddragon, goldofold


I'm in. I aped and went all-in. There's more steam in this train.

I'm also in, I half aped with 50% of my fake USD stash  Grin
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 01/05/2025, 22:14:43 UTC

lets make a guess

closest call crossing 100k again


Saturday night, classical weekend pump. Long overdue.
Say by May 4, 01:30 (AM)
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 30/04/2025, 10:45:46 UTC
⭐ Merited by vapourminer (1)

Interesting...exactly what i was talking about, albeit, NOT available in US:

https://www.coinbase.com/blog/coinbase-asset-management-launches-the-coinbase-bitcoin-yield-fund

with 4-8% yearly average yield on bitcoin in BITCOIN, who would ever need to sell?
It's a basis trade fund, using the difference between spot and futures, imho.

Yes. Elsewhere they say it explicitly: all the yield is expected to come from the basis trade

Funny how they tell you the yield is going to be 4% when there is no guarantee that the yield will stay positive in the future. Nothing mechanically prevents it from going negative.

In prose: nothing mechanically prevents the funding rate from going negative. Verifiably true: there have been several stretches of negative funding rates. The carry trade (long corn, short futures) gets disrupted when it happens. I don't think the "inverse carry trade" would work too well (shorting corn and longing futures) to monetize negative funding rates.

However, as I'm sure you know very well, the normal state for bitcoin futures is contango - that is, futures are more expensive than today's corn. In other words, the premium - basically the funding rate - is generally positive, at least when bitcoin is expected to go up.

If it's really "going up forever", as Laura often repeats after some guy told her, the more frequent, normal condition could be profitable. Predicting it to stay in the 4%-8% annualized range is another matter, though.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 30/04/2025, 09:39:05 UTC

Interesting...exactly what i was talking about, albeit, NOT available in US:

https://www.coinbase.com/blog/coinbase-asset-management-launches-the-coinbase-bitcoin-yield-fund

with 4-8% yearly average yield on bitcoin in BITCOIN, who would ever need to sell?
It's a basis trade fund, using the difference between spot and futures, imho.

Yes. Elsewhere they say it explicitly: all the yield is expected to come from the basis trade - nothing riskier than that. I lost the link and can't find it right now, but it confirms what you're saying.

I wouldn't mind throwing some corn at a thing like that, especially if the custodian is "too big to fail", as Coinbase got to be. As for nonavailability in the US, this is exactly the kind of thing that might change with a friendlier regulator at work. And I'm pretty sure there will be copycats and similar funds will pop up like mushrooms. Trusting the custodian will be the hard bit. But yield without selling is sooooo sweeeet...

Funny how they tell you the yield is going to be 4% when there is no guarantee that the yield will stay positive in the future. Nothing mechanically prevents it from going negative.



Then, they short real corn
While longing derivatives
The un-carry trade?



#haiku
#not-financial-advice
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Merits 3 from 3 users

Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 29/04/2025, 22:09:45 UTC
⭐ Merited by pinhead666 (1) ,jojo69 (1) ,JayJuanGee (1)

Hey...

What could be the reason behind the sudden increase in the price of BTC? Do you know any updates on this?

Make silly questions? Get.. s/s/s/s
ssssssAM
Sam is the guy you call
When price go up.

Hey, Sam? Yeah, Ed here.
How about that Zen oracle,
"Why price go up"-san?

--Updates come through/ / /
If they / / / come through
Because the updater is on--

(on.... on... on..)

When sellers give no love, price go down
When buyers hornier (whoohee!) price go up
It's the down. And the up.

Ask
Ask
Ask
Ask LAURA


#nohaiku
#musestrike
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 29/04/2025, 16:27:07 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Interesting...exactly what i was talking about, albeit, NOT available in US:

https://www.coinbase.com/blog/coinbase-asset-management-launches-the-coinbase-bitcoin-yield-fund

with 4-8% yearly average yield on bitcoin in BITCOIN, who would ever need to sell?
It's a basis trade fund, using the difference between spot and futures, imho.

Yes. Elsewhere they say it explicitly: all the yield is expected to come from the basis trade - nothing riskier than that. I lost the link and can't find it right now, but it confirms what you're saying.
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Merits 7 from 3 users

Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
d_eddie
on 28/04/2025, 20:09:43 UTC
⭐ Merited by El duderino_ (5) ,OgNasty (1) ,JayJuanGee (1)

It seems like every week lately a new country has their own "strategy" with today's being Brazil.  It is pretty obvious what is happening at this point.  Back before the price ruled everything, these entities would be considered an attack on Bitcoin.  Now, they are the bribe that gets our community to sell out the goal for.  Being totally honest, I don't even know what the goal of Bitcoin is anymore.  Certainly not P2P currency, or removing power from central banks...  Who cares though right?  Bitcoin to the moon!  We're all getting lambos!

Your post is food for thought.

My own take - but I haven't thought about it much yet, honestly.

WTF were we expecting? The best asset in the world left to a bunch of cyberpunks smart enough to see the truth back in the day? Of course human greed - of which corporate greed is the more structured incarnation - would take over. OK, maybe the P2P road seems a bit troublesome right now. However, Lightning does work, and I'm using a nifty app that moves sats in seconds, no questions asked.

Apart from P2P currency, the goal of bitcoin could still be protecting money from evaporation via inflation. And in due time, possibly disciplining rogue central banks that solve each and every problem by what they know best how to do - namely printing. Gold failed at that, after Nixon blah blah blah, and it is too easy to confiscate: remember Eisenhower - and Hitler and Mussolini and all the other warmongers thirsty for war funds before that, back to the Incas maybe?

Now bitcoin has this thing about private keys and boating accidents that makes it much, much better than gold at establishing a baseline for value. That might be the ultimate goal.

Interesting times indeed.
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Re: [FREE RAFFLE #4] Icarus Custom Card🔐🎰
by
d_eddie
on 28/04/2025, 17:17:12 UTC

14 - d_eddie

And thank you for the game cygan  Smiley