If you go all the way back on this thread to page #9 you can see the day I almost got a block. I kept 1x S9 pointed at the pool ever since with the rest of my gear on a pool. The machine I kept pointed here was the one that would've found that block since it was a lucky machine but no dice.

It's a lotto you have the same chance of finding a block as anyone but just like the mega millions the more tickets you buy (hash power) the more of a chance you have of winning, like the guy that found 2 blocks the other day that was insane BTW super cool to see.

Well y'all, it's been interesting for the last few years here on the solo lottery. Never found anything besides the block that I lost because the old server was a POS and made me lose 12.5 BTC. But I still played anyway and never struck again. I'm moving and won't have free electric anymore so I sold all my minig rigs today. Best of luck to all y'all and many more blocks have yet to be found by the solo team I hope y'all find some, and often.

I'm over 50% luck so still hopeful that it'll come soon Didn't the last block get solved with over 200% luck? Did I read that correctly?

My best share went significantly up since my last post!Miracle

Hello
Even 12 digits are far to go to solve a 14 digit diff!
How long are you mining on solo? I am about a couple of months already and never went more than 12 digit.
Also i think latency matters!Where are you located?

whoa congrats to the lucky miner. Nice to see someone without a ton of hashrate find the block.

Curious....how can I calculate my own personal luck?

I did some detailed cleaning of my full unit by removing cover, unmounting fan and taking dust out.
By doing so I realized it's not necessary, because most of dust stays outside and it's enough to make sure that visible side edges of radiator are clean. Anyway...

My PI board stopped booting now

I tried re-flashing with Apollo image, Armbian image (for Orange Pi4), but I still get no HDMI output. Red and Green LEDs are lighted up (w/o blinking).
Do I need serial cable to investigate or is there something I can do without cable?

nice hash has that.

[2022-02-11 11:05:42] CPU #1: 2342 kH/s

However keep in mind that the luck is calculated wrong on this pool...

Due to difficulty changes every 2 weeks and if you mine past a difficulty change point the accuracy of the luck is off..

It should have a running total, for every period of difficulty adjustment but instead it just uses shares / luck..

How long have you been running it? Id wait at least 24 hours before looking at pool stats, as it takes a while to stabilize especially if the pool is running high diff.

Solochance is pretty accurate, well, the math is rather simple to be honest, I did confirm that Solochance does the math the way it should be done ( I can't find the post but if you dig in the old posts of this topic you will find it).

With that being said, these are nothing but "statistics", luck variance is proportional to your total power, in reality, mining to a large pool only smooths/levels your payouts, a large pool can have a lot of variances and say 50% luck for 10 or 20 blocks, but in say a week or two it's luck will level up/down close to the 100% mark, a single S9 variance can take years to level out, this makes calculating your chances pretty "useless" even with 3PH when the network size is well above 100EH.

What I personally do is point the majority of my hashrate to PPS+ pools to get daily payouts, point only one or a few miners to cksolo for fun, I think this is the best rational approach.77

if you are usa based I will sell you mine when I get it.  at cost.  I purchased full deluxe model with all bells and whistles. I think it was 558 USD fully equipped.