What'd I tell ya?

Are y'all going for a quadruple top or something? The collapse on the other side of this is going to be really bad.

You all know this doesn't have legs right? I don't think there's been a better sell signal in all of history for anything.

This is not a bull run. It's just a gyration in the market. It's noise along our predestined path downward. Six months from now the price will be a lot lower than it is.

This is the short opportunity of this century.

This is setting up to be a whopper of a dead cat bounce.

This suckers "rally" is already reversing.

There is no chance this holds.

I use a mathematically and scientifically proven comprehensive technical analysis of bitcoin's price to arrive at my conclusions, and it is unequivocally clear that the underlying fundamentals point to a continuing collapse, especially in light of the macro environment. But setting that aside, the exponential history of the price, as measured by the differential dy/dx = ky^2, combined with its high volatility, alone suggests a very high risk of a terminal trajectory. This is further compounded by its beta coefficient, which is indicative of its sensitivity to market changes (β = (σxy) / (σx * σy)). Finally, bitcoin's Sharpe ratio is in the red, plainly implying its risk-adjusted returns are negative (Sr = (μp - rf) / σp). All of this, and more, leads to an undeniable conclusion that bitcoin is collapsing, has failed, and will eventually go below $1,000, which is the price level at which the key indicators begin to normalize. Hope this helps.

This is an easy one. The probability of $60k/btc again is zero. There is no path for bitcoin to achieve those prices ever again.

No. The price will fall back below $17k before it can spend more than 5 days above $17k. There is no path for bitcoin to sustain greater than 5 consecutive days above $17k this year. We could possibly see it in 20-30 years when bitcoin is a digital collector's item, but by that the cheapest Toyota EV will cost over $100k and a starter home will be over $1m.

I doubt it. From the data studied, the price will likely continue down in 2023, dropping below $10k. As the halving approaches, there will be a pump and dump that might go as high as $15k in the run-up to the halving. After the halving, the price will continue down as it'll be painfully evident just how dead this experiment is. By the end of the decade, the price will be below $1,000.

Bitcoin is already dead. There will be no pumps in 2023 unless you flip the price chart upside down.

We're essentially at the highest bitcoin price of 2023 right now. Ok, sure, we might briefly bounce above the current price (~$16,800), but it won't be sustained. As a matter of fact, the price of bitcoin will not be maintained above $17k for more than 5 consecutive days in 2023. So, yeah, this is the high for the year more or less. The direction is down. The profitable move is to short the price of bitcoin with all you've got, if you care to be involved in this market at all.

It's obvious. The bearish trend will continue. Within the next month, the price will fall below $16k and at no point this year will the price sustain 5 consecutive days above $17k.

The price of bitcoin will definitely go below $14k in the coming years. At no time in the next 5 years will the bitcoin price sustain more than 5 consecutive days above $17k. There will be green quarters, no doubt, but they'll be bounces from, say, $10k to $14k along the way lower and lower. There really is no long-term future for this experiment. It's run its course.

Just re-ran my scientific models. The price of bitcoin will not sustain more than 3 consecutive days above $20k for the rest of the year. Next year there is a 96% chance that the price will not sustain 10 consecutive days above $20k for all of 2023.

I think I might frame this post and hang it on my wall. I strangely cannot help but regard it as a work of art. Well done.

The price won't stay above $20k for more than 5 consecutive days. That's going to be true for the foreseeable future.