As most of know the us dollar has lost spending power ever since the Federal Reserve (A group of private banks) took over printing the dollar. With QE unlimited and no gold standard seems it will only get worse. Could the national debt have something to do with it?
Agentina is dealing with similar issues right now with their peso.
It happened right before WW2 in Germany with the Weimar Republic and then 2008 with Zimbabwe.
The Chinese have said that if the US doesn't reduce its debt it will start offloading its US Treasuries/bonds - and when their export markets have expanded and domestic demand has grown they might well be in a position to do just that. Even the odd threat of it causes the dollar to plunge.
Quite frankly, the US debt market is exactly what allows Chinese to keep yuan undervalued by buying dollars.
As long as China wants to be an exporting country, they will have to amass dollars (or any currency of their trading partners), either directly (via CB) or indirectly (via outward private investment).
Economic adjustment doesn't happen overnight. By the time Chinese reorient their economy the dollar exchange rate would have already adjusted.
China is already in the situation where it doesn't need to export that much or close to the situation where it can dump the Dollar.
I highly doubt that. The Chinese trade surplus this year is at record levels. There's a debt bubble in the economy. What China does is "export its way" out of a possible crisis. Also I don't see any sense in "dumping" dollar. It's much better used to invest in overseas expansion.
At one point, the rest of the world will realize consuming and enjoying their own labor are way better off than supporting a dieing currency.
Trading volume doesnt mean much. The Chinese exchange have 0 fees which makes the same coins being traded back and forth all day.
Don't think it matter if people trade back and forth. If the trading volume is true, that's mean the exchange can absorb a lot of bitcoin being dumped on it.
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Topic
BoardEconomics
Re: What is causin Bitcoin loosing value this time?
Intervention always ends up hurting more than it helps... it fakes demand similar to QE and all other forms of manipulation... it will come back to bite. If it moved up too far or down too far.. tough loss your decision to sign plaza accord creating a deflationary spiral for everyone else other than USD.
I think QE is worse then intervention. QE is determined to be long term manipulation and is very difficult and time consuming to unwind. The effects of QE will also not be immediately known.
Intervention on the other hand takes effect immediately and can easily be reversed by intervening in the other direction (or can simply cease intervening)
true... just a form of intervention obviuosly qe is worse or else us would have just done a normal intervention and used profits if any to bail ppl out etc but they needed money right away so.
Currency intervention only works when other countries are not intervening to make their currency weak as well. If that were to happen then the federal reserve would simply be selling euros to the ECB. QE will be necessary when many countries are attempting to intervene in credit markets, although it is much more complicated
Normally, this would mean country who devalue their own currency first benefit the most in the short term. But smart money will leave the country will leave the country who steal from businesses who hold capital.
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BoardBitcoin Discussion
Re: Are you interested in Bitcoin because of the concept or to get rich?
by
unpure
on 09/10/2014, 08:09:16 UTC
Mainly trying to get rich riding the wave. It seems that has back fired.
time to load up some next to free bitcoins before the moron runs out of coins to sell.
Bitcoin price is subjected to cost of production. If some ASIC manufactures and mining farms can continue to pump out coin at cheaper price, then they are still profiting from selling at this price.
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BoardSpeculation
Re: what the price of 1 btc to usd after the next halving ?
by
unpure
on 01/10/2014, 07:57:07 UTC
Price might not change but many mining farms go out of business.
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BoardSpeculation
Re: Bitcoin $1,000+ in Aug 2015, Q4 2015 big rally
by
unpure
on 01/10/2014, 07:55:07 UTC
Experience traders buy where there is blood on the street and sell when everyone is cheering on the illusion gain.