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Showing 20 of 33 results by xjosx
I reiterate to the Bitcoin stability hawks... A lower price means higher volatility.
Maybe you've noticed from forum members, that people don't generally understand logs, exponentiation, nor fractions. A change from $4 to $3 is the same as from $40 to $39. I suspect this gives voice to the hawkish squawking. But I don't suspect anyone who could program a stability-bot suffers this dillusion.
Does your crystal ball shed any light on the future trend, plus or minus? My eyeball comparisons have run out of steam and I could use a good bed time story.
Same absolute change, different relative change. One represents a 25% drop in value, the other a 2.5% drop in value.
Is that how much he charges?
I'm pretty sure he charges 5 BTC/month.
And not to either defend him or criticize him, but GoWest, your analysis of his performance is hardly statistically sound. You're pointing out one data point, one prediction out of hundreds. I'd be more impressed with your analysis if you provided a comprehensive analysis his past predictions over the course of a month or more, rather than a day.
This kind of "troll analysis" is getting retarded here...
Re: [ANNOUNCE] SolidCoin - new and improved block chain. Secure from pools
2011-08-14 $9.207 $10.130
2011-08-15 $8.808 $9.490
2011-08-16 $8.840 $9.133
2011-08-17 $8.775 $9.295
2011-08-15 $8.808 $9.490
2011-08-16 $8.840 $9.133
2011-08-17 $8.775 $9.295
All due respect (IMO your a very intelligent guy) but didnt your analysis also predict a value of $10 - $13 over the next few days the day before it crashed to $6
I guess the better way to look at the forecast isn't "what will likely happen" but "what will likely happen if trends remain constant in direction and magnitude." To predict group variability with total accuracy is impossible; can you tell me what the overall luck for all miners will be tomorrow? Likewise, predicting outliers isn't realistically going to happen as the events that triggered the crash was a chain event, a butterfly effect, not just one big drop.
Well done. It would help to add at the end "Price to sell back at to break even: " eg. 10.12
I wrote the script at 5am.Give me a few minutes and I'll add that.
[Edit]:
http://gyazo.com/ee34be5c37cce7747d2a1d2316ad3bc2.png
http://zombietoday.com/trade_calculator.php
Code:
echo "What's the minimum price I would have to sell back at to break even? ";
if($_GET['volume']>0 && $_GET['ppb']>0 && is_numeric($_GET['volume']) && is_numeric($_GET['ppb']) && $_GET['fee']>0 && is_numeric($_GET['fee']))
{
$volume = $_GET['volume'];
$ppb = $_GET['ppb'];
$fee = $_GET['fee'];
$fee_c = ($fee / 1000); //yea, I know...decided to not use the full percentage
$total_buy = $volume * $ppb;
$min_sell = $total_buy + ($total_buy * $fee_c);
$minMarket_low_sell = ($min_sell / $volume);
echo "[Volume]: ".$volume."";
echo "[Buy]: ".$total_buy."";
echo "[Sell]: ".$min_sell."";
echo "Minimum sell when Price Per Bitcoin is ".$minMarket_low_sell."USD to break even.";
} else {
echo "";
echo "Buy @ .mtGoxAvg()."'>";
echo "Fee 0.% ";
echo "";
}
function mtGoxAvg()
{
$opts = array(
'http'=> array(
'method'=> "GET",
'user_agent'=> "MozillaXYZ/1.0"));
$context = stream_context_create($opts);
$json = file_get_contents('https://mtgox.com/code/data/ticker.php', false, $context);
$jdec = json_decode($json);
return $jdec->{'ticker'}->{'avg'};
}
?>
Enjoy!if($_GET['volume']>0 && $_GET['ppb']>0 && is_numeric($_GET['volume']) && is_numeric($_GET['ppb']) && $_GET['fee']>0 && is_numeric($_GET['fee']))
{
$volume = $_GET['volume'];
$ppb = $_GET['ppb'];
$fee = $_GET['fee'];
$fee_c = ($fee / 1000); //yea, I know...decided to not use the full percentage
$total_buy = $volume * $ppb;
$min_sell = $total_buy + ($total_buy * $fee_c);
$minMarket_low_sell = ($min_sell / $volume);
echo "[Volume]: ".$volume."";
echo "[Buy]: ".$total_buy."";
echo "[Sell]: ".$min_sell."";
echo "Minimum sell when Price Per Bitcoin is ".$minMarket_low_sell."USD to break even.";
} else {
echo "";
echo "Buy @ .mtGoxAvg()."'>";
echo "Fee 0.% ";
echo "";
}
function mtGoxAvg()
{
$opts = array(
'http'=> array(
'method'=> "GET",
'user_agent'=> "MozillaXYZ/1.0"));
$context = stream_context_create($opts);
$json = file_get_contents('https://mtgox.com/code/data/ticker.php', false, $context);
$jdec = json_decode($json);
return $jdec->{'ticker'}->{'avg'};
}
?>
Are you sure the math is right? As stated in Joel's post, a $0.12 spread at $10 is enough to break even. According to yours, a $0.67 spread is required... That can't be right.
what does google trends have to say about this?
It has risen over the past few days (check chod's time series analysis thread on the 14th page). It's been suggested that the price trails the google trends volume by a few days.
To be honest, even if there is a difficultly drop, it won't be a 50% drop as we've basically seen with bitcoin's value. There's no guarantee we'll even recover (remember, we haven't hit $30/coin since that crash). Pretty sad indeed. 
Don't forget that right now Mt Gox is allowing certain privileged traders to exchange with no fees. IMHO they are holding the price down by squeezing micro profits out of trades. This will end in a week or so. Don't forget, there are a lot of new products being released and new announcements of products expected in the next few weeks.
Not true. Us zero fee traders are back up to 0.3% fees as of a few days ago.
The Nexus S is too cost prohibitive and powerful for this use alone. A custom device that is cheap and tough would be much better for this type of project. Maybe something low power that has great battery life? Maybe a Kindle like device?
The Optimus V on Virgin Mobile. $129 w/o a contract. Monthly plans start at $25, or if you want to go the cheap route, it has built in wifi, so you don't need a plan or use virgin mobile's service at all.
In fact, it fulfills of the OP's requirements:
Quote
* The device is a Nexus S with a custom version of Android where all apps are removed except a bitcoin client and Dropbox
The Optimus V can run android and has MANY custom roms, including some based on CM7, that run 2.3.4. All bloatware removed, with complete market access (access to dropbox, etc).
* The bitcoin client is based on existing clients, except also includes the ability to backup the encrypted wallet to Dropbox
Yup. Dropbox access is available. Not sure about bitcoin clients, but i'm sure someone can code something for android if it's not already.
* The user logs in to their Dropbox account to sync the wallet file
Check. Just need a bitcoin app built using Dropbox SDK.
* The user has one password to unencrypted the password file which they type in when the device is turned on
* The user has a separate, shorter password (a PIN), which they use every time they want to unlock the phone to send a payment
Check. You can either either a PIN or password when using a custom rom of CM7.
* The device would work over WiFi to connect to the bitcoin network
The Optimus V has wifi capabilities.
* The user could pay for 3G/4G internet access to be able to send money when they are not on a WiFi network
It doesn't have 4G, but sending bitcoins isn't bandwidth intensive. 3G will be perfectly fine.
The Optimus V can run android and has MANY custom roms, including some based on CM7, that run 2.3.4. All bloatware removed, with complete market access (access to dropbox, etc).
* The bitcoin client is based on existing clients, except also includes the ability to backup the encrypted wallet to Dropbox
Yup. Dropbox access is available. Not sure about bitcoin clients, but i'm sure someone can code something for android if it's not already.
* The user logs in to their Dropbox account to sync the wallet file
Check. Just need a bitcoin app built using Dropbox SDK.
* The user has one password to unencrypted the password file which they type in when the device is turned on
* The user has a separate, shorter password (a PIN), which they use every time they want to unlock the phone to send a payment
Check. You can either either a PIN or password when using a custom rom of CM7.
* The device would work over WiFi to connect to the bitcoin network
The Optimus V has wifi capabilities.
* The user could pay for 3G/4G internet access to be able to send money when they are not on a WiFi network
It doesn't have 4G, but sending bitcoins isn't bandwidth intensive. 3G will be perfectly fine.
Hi everyone,
i want to buy one of the following games :
-Duke Nukem Forever
-Red Faction Armaggedon (<-- prefer this game in first case :3)
I can give you 1.26 BTC for it + eets steam key.
i want to buy one of the following games :
-Duke Nukem Forever
-Red Faction Armaggedon (<-- prefer this game in first case :3)
I can give you 1.26 BTC for it + eets steam key.
I'd sell you Duke for 1.50.
Re: MetaCo.in Steam Game Giveaway - (I'm giving out 10 free games!)
https://twitter.com/#!/JErod69
Hey man. Just a tip.
Most people who keep their mouth shut get to keep the spoils.
Those who boast usually get caught over time because they can't stop bragging.
Most people who keep their mouth shut get to keep the spoils.
Those who boast usually get caught over time because they can't stop bragging.
He's not looking to keep the spoils from what it looks like. It doesn't even look like he was in it for a profit. It looks like he was in it to screw over the people that unjustly screwed him over. I'm not sure what exactly he did to get all the negative feedback in the first place, but it certainly seems like a very hivemind-ish thing to do.
I'd say this is the more concerning thing than his MITM attack, the hivemind nature of bitcoin users, especially in this forum.
The lowest I could set mine to is 1000 MHz, down from 1250. If I set it to 900 MHz, for example, the change won't take affect, and it'll register as 1250 MHz when I monitor it... I believe it may be a bios limit, but I don't want to muck around and screw things up
I did got one password recovery email, I used it and changed the password. Then this new password did not work. Next day it started to work. Most probably there is an account lockout when you make too many failed login attempts. I've heard that the password recovery also has a limit of 1 email per day. If you did not got your password recovery email at all - then maybe it got to spam folders?
Already checked spam. Nothing there
