Quote from: Mist on March 08, 2016, 04:10:31 AM

Quote from: niagwai on March 08, 2016, 04:06:41 AM

NCAAB: BYU averages 83.6 points per game, and Gonzaga averages 79.3 points per game.

Yet their last two meetings they have held eachother much lower:
2/27/16 GON 71-68: line for total was 155.5, ended 139
1/14/16 BYU 69-68 GON: line for total was 162.5, ended 137

For today's game the total is at 150... still too high?

BYU plays an uptempo style with a lot of three point attempts. Gonzaga has good 3pt shot defense, better defense in general. Gonzaga has held 12 straight opponents under 70 points.

The game is a TV game on ESPN2 and is being played on a neutral court at Orleans Las Vegas. The total for the game opened at 151.5 and is down to 150. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of BYU's last 12 games when playing Gonzaga.

I'm predicting that since it is a big game on ESPN2, and in Vegas, it's assumed people are betting on the (rightful) favorite Gonzaga -3 and the over 150.5 total. Their last two meetings this year were only decided by three points, they were close contests, but again the total was off by over 15 points both times this year!

I am assuming this trend continues, and am risking 0.002 BTC on the under 150.5 @1.98 odds: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/0ebaa0cVkFQTDZKaXNSQlUzR3kzbVRWSmJEQT09/r/595422/

As someone that follows a good bit of basketball, that's a solid bet. GL with that.

That would be really nice. But that is very hard to let that happen. Than you must play very safe and that is very important.
If you dont play safe and than you can lose a lot of money and that will be not good, it will be all wasted.