Quote from: Killerpotleaf on March 14, 2017, 04:53:55 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 14, 2017, 04:48:54 AM

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on March 14, 2017, 12:04:35 AM

Quote from: gembitz on March 13, 2017, 08:21:10 PM

Quote from: york780 on March 13, 2017, 05:07:11 PM

Thats true. I hodl. I think that the Segwit vs BU is the last horde that bitcoin has to take before it moons.

^we just got to find a way to find a middle ground ~ piss EVERYONE off ! :-D lol

yeah, if it was a political debate that would be the way forward ... except it isn't, it is about the best technology to function as money on the Internet.

This latest ploy by the political animals is a contentious Miner Activated Hard Fork - MAHF which is probably the most dangerous way forward imaginable as it is essentially indistinguishable from a hostile miner 51% attack, even if the idiotic participants are completely genuine in their desire for a 'better' bitcoin, the way they are going about it is crazy ... and it has probably already been co-opted by those wishing to stir up more trouble and mischief, if not yet then it will be. The poor well-intentioned BU crowd have become the poster children for 'useful idiots', seriously.

A less than palatable User Activated Soft Fork- UASF is less dangerous but even so not the ideal way forward to increasing bitcoin's native capacity, on or off chain.

There is a slim hope for a white knight, 'third way' marvel of technology, solution to emerge from the mist but that window is closing.

What are the odds of a hardfork anyhow, let's say in the next 3-6 months?

One thing is to talk of a hardfork, but another is to actually have the mechanisms to carry it out.

Probably the odds currently are less than 20%, no? Maybe I am being too generous with giving it too high of odds?

i'd place the odds of a full on chain split within a year at 70%

but, i think the odds are very high it will be a very uneven split like 25/75 worst case, bitcoin(BU Grin

) might drop 20% and not recover the next day, but hey we'll have CoreCoins as a consolation prize.

Yes. You seem to be giving considerably greater odds to the possibility of a fork than me.

But, sure, I could see some of the passionate nutjobs attempting to pull such a trigger and even pulling such a trigger way too prematurely.