Would just 'justify' a BU fork in my view.....thus price of $200 buck coin....would both chains recover with that 'brand name of bitcoin' hit

Just saying if it was that easy ...why ask for 95% activation....for seg witness in the first place..just feel I missing the other shoe to fall ..seems too easy
(hope I am wrong however)
No. Practically almost the whole economy and a super majority of users are supporting Segwit (have implemented/are testing/have planned an implementation of Segwit). This is only the Jihan & Ver cartel blocking consensus from forming. They can create their worthless fork, nobody wants it. Segwit is activating, with or without them.
Once this issue has been taken care of, I expect the trust & positive bull trend to continue. If everything ends up being *okay*, I expect the price above $2k in the months post activation. A lot of people are just uninformed about the real benefits of Segwit (capacity aside). This is primarily due to the propaganda lies, as found on r/btc.
I certainly hope your view is correct and my fears are not! Anyway, for now I'm just gonna go with the flow with your view (sunny fellow I am) and assume if I hold long
enough it will work out....(i did hold since 2013 mining..and have nothing in the btc i own anymore but time/labor/mining) ...thus need to play the long game
and liguidate some crap on ebay for more $$$$ to toss at BTC. IF BTC goes tulips its a win/win...attic is empty..easy 1k to make rec room house value goes up 10k..if
btc pumps 5k of crap in there for putting on boring ebay...works also...need to get motivated...mantra cheap coin/cheap coin..to get over ebay slump of horror
drudgery of putting stuff up for $$$ to get BTC
argh..just pump to 2k already and I'd not be worrying about frigging 2.25k of btc in my attic in $$$ towards ebay
