Quote from: jwk1jesse on August 27, 2017, 07:53:17 AM

Quote from: muscarina on August 27, 2017, 02:32:56 AM

Quote from: kano on August 27, 2017, 02:24:13 AM

Block! by kerberos

Another slow one this month Tongue

Oh well, them's the breaks.
4 payouts

4 PAYOUTS MAN!!!! We started SUNDAY with 4 payouts, thats why I LOVE KANO'S POOL.

Maybe i am missing something....... perhaps you can educate me......

as i see is..... (please correct me if i am wrong.....)
for the month we are 9 blocks behind normal/expected......
luck is currently at 81%
that is on track with being 20% behind where we are expected to be.... or should be.....
yes.... we just got 4 payouts....... but that is from the last 4 blocks.....
we did not get that payout because of solving the current block..... we just had to wait to solve the current block to get those 4 payouts.....
this is really nothing to cheer about..... in fact we are way behind where we should be.....
despite the drop in difficulty..... we are still not solving blocks at the rate we should be.....
what are we cheering about? Huh

?? we are behind for the month.....

am i missing something? what is going on here?

Well, unless you have some magic way to change pool luck, then the current block luck is just that: poor luck, and there's nothing that can be done about it.
Hopping away wont help you either since a luck change has no known point when it will start and when it will finish.

It's not a case of "oh luck has been bad for ages and will continue to be bad"
This month we started with poor luck then completely reversed that back almost to 100% (99.38%), then got 2 long and 2 short unlucky blocks in a row, but have been running expected luck since that (actually was 1 block ahead in that run of 14) until this last block, which was again poor luck.

The month's PPS% is still 93.32% so it's not a devastating result at all yet.

So if you could predict the bad luck blocks in advance with some magic crystal ball, then you might have been able to avoid them, however no one other than you can.

Meanwhile, we had a good run of luck the other day and this slow block confirmed those 4 payouts.
So if you don't like getting 4 payouts at once, then I guess there's nothing to be happy about.
Most people are happy about getting that much in one hit.

Luck goes up and down. Always has and always will.

CDF says approximately one in three blocks is expected to be diff over 100% i.e. on the bad side of luck, on every pool.
The result is that you'll see the pool spending more time in bad luck than in good luck, maths and time says that's how it will be.

Oh well Tongue