..don't get me wrong.. I would LOVE to receive my stuff asap so I can get in on this "under 50 million" difficulty. I personally think Butterfly labs WILL ship my stuff. It's not the how, who, and what.. it's the WHEN that determines if I make a couple of grand.. or make 10-20 grand. No matter how much Butterfly labs messes up and shows its mismanagement, I still think they have every intention of fulfilling their orders and staying in the business for the long haul. That's about all I can say right now though.
they love you man... but for YOUR sake please spread out your bets though
there is a real reason that ASICminer gets the price they ask.. wake up to that fact
trust me.. if I had the money to buy into anything else at this point I would. ASICs are super pricey and I've already woken up to that fact. I can't afford asic miner equipment but they certainly demand the price. Unfortunately I've put all my eggs in one basket. IF I receive my product I'm 100% sure I'll make some money off of it (seeing that I have nothing truly invested.. making 10$ would be considered profit to me). I assume that IF I receive my devices, the difficulty has to hit the 600 million range to be not worth it to me. That is making ~100-125$ @ 40GH/s and 120$ bitcoins. Let's not forget that by the time the difficulty is up to 600 million, we may see a significant rise in bitcoin prices. If I get my device at the 50 million difficulty mark, I will still be making ~850$ a month. If I save 4 bitcoins a month and after 6 months the difficulty is at 500 million, but bitcoins are 300$ a bitcoin, I will have saved 7200$ in bitcoins and will be making ~$366 a month. That is only ~1.15 bitcoins a month @ 40GH/s @ 500 million difficulty @ $300 bitcoins. For me, nothing to scoff at and of course it is purely speculation. Take it for what it is worth, but we have a lot of variables that determine the profitability of different mining devices. Hopefully the stars align for most of us (adopters of BFL, asicminer, Avalon, bitcoin horders, etc..)
The only thing that could happen is BFL just picks up and disappears with all of our money. Time will tell but I'm still leaning on them staying in the business. If not.. oh well. Maybe I'll score it big on something else. If I was a huge investor, or sunk ANY money into this I was not already writing off as lost, I would have a totally different outlook. Might as well have spent my bitcoins at the bicoin casino if that was the case.
