Quote from: ArcticWolf on July 25, 2013, 04:20:08 AM

Lets get back to some old fashioned speculating!

3-4 days until the SatoshiDice passthroughs get their payouts. What does everyone think this will do to the ACTM price?

I've been thinking about this as well. I think people who were long SatoshiDice might take up some long positions in ActM, but people who were trading it might just pump-and-dump ActM as the dividends at present aren't likely to convert them to a long position. You might be able to model this by looking at share movement on BitFunder (with regards to the Assets List) over a period of 12 months (if you have access to those backups) and see what percentage was holding vs trading. Then, project this percentage over the total pass through share number over all exchanges and figure what volume of long BTC investment is about to be freed up. Of course, ActM is only likely to snag a percentage of those long positions, but it is one of the more attractive long security positions at the moment. Overall, I expect an upward movement in price, but there will be a correction associated with the upward movement.