Quote from: reactorjuno on September 14, 2018, 03:04:54 PM

Quote from: Tytanowy Janusz on September 14, 2018, 02:45:46 PM

Quote from: Bardman on September 10, 2018, 10:12:11 AM

if the support area around 6000$ holds again this time, we will be in a really good position to actually break the lower highs, we would only need a 1000$~ move to break it for the first time in basically a year.

If the support will hold. If not we will see 4-5k few days later. Question is - will it hold?

In my opinion there is no chance to it to hold. If market will act normal we we see 6k break in next 2 weeks. Only good news can save BTC.
Support is weaker with every bounce. Why?
1- With second bounce traders were buying on 6k to profit till 12k. Now with resistance close to 6700 it might not be worth to take risk.
2- Those who bought in february, may, with every dip close to 6k are slowly getting into half year into position without any profit. They are slowly getting bored and are looking where to sell
3- Shorters know that braking 5,5-6k will dump market instantly to 4k (stoplosses, overlaveraged longs) - big short from whale is getting more profitable and less risky - it might be easier to earn for big whale shoring at 6k rather than buiying to sell at 6500
4- all willing to buy at 6k range already did. Now we are seeing only low volume speculation

Take a look at silver few years ago and how its end up.

Looks similar to BTC? 27$ support looks as strong as 6000$ for btc

Thats how it end showing bottom at 15$. We need good news to help this support. Otherwise we will see another support at 4-5k what will postopne next pump from december 2018 too december 2019.

A little depressing to read, but what you wrote makes some sense, at least to me. Now for a big news, I am thinking about the ETF, cannot see anything else than that in the short or middle term. Technically the ETF would not be good news for the supporters of the original wallpaper, but it would be good for those looking for short term profits (would definitely have a positive impact on the price if it happens).

''Shorters know that braking 5,5-6k will dump market instantly to 4k'' Not necessarily though. The 6000$ level was broken once on Bitfinex and saw no follow through. Also every time bitcoin approaches 30 on the RSI we see a bounce. At this point the weekly chart looks like an equilibrium pattern with a high, low, lower high and higher low?

We would have to see another lower high and then a bear break, which could happen but we would be close to 30 RSI again.