Quote from: BTCalexxx2.0 on February 18, 2014, 11:22:39 AM

Quote from: psilos on February 18, 2014, 11:08:22 AM

Could u please elaborate a bit more on how did you conclude to the 40% chance?

He obviously just did the simple math to divide the Gox market price by the the Bitstamp rate e.g.

Correct ! but prices in EUR/btc , so gox price against bitcoin.de price.

That's what the market price is telling us all ! people that buy and sell coins consider gox.coin about 60 % less valuable than other coins. Thats a measured perception of risk !