Quote from: sgbett on Today at 01:00:06 PM

Quote from: nutildah on January 05, 2021, 08:41:27 PM

Quote from: hotpassion on January 05, 2021, 01:53:11 PM

Quote from: sgbett on January 04, 2021, 12:27:43 PM

Happy new year degenerates!

C'mon February ... I believe in you!

What will you do if the BTC price don't crash down to sub-$3k in Feb as you forecasted? Will you dare to eat your own c**k live on TV like John McAfee said in 2017?

I just spoke with his publicity manager and he assures me sgbett has agreed to be whipped in the nuts by a cricket ball in a sock on national TV if his February prediction doesn't come true. We've already signed the contract, so it's a done deal.

lol

Quote from: Wind_FURY on January 07, 2021, 09:23:01 AM

OR, why not plainly admit that he was simply WRONG, and that all this topic is actually about is to spread FUD about Bitcoin, and promote his forked-shitcoin-from-a-forked-Bitcoin-shitcoin.

oh windy, always with the ulterior motive! the thread is plainly my speculation on price action If you follow from the start it was calling the top, then it was projecting what the bottom might be if it followed the same cycle as MtGox. Obviously its been a while since then given it was a 2 year prediction and a lot has happened - any mention of BSV is just me being honest about my thoughts - I don't *think* I have recommended anyone buy it for price appreciation purposes.

It's clear by now that I am wrong in my prediction, even if by some miracle BTC went to 2k in feb *I WOULD STILL BE WRONG* because it would go there because of some - as JJG puts it - black swan type event. Not because it replayed the cycle after gox, which as you will recall was the thesis behind my prediction.

You can all ascribe motives for that but not once in the history of bitcoin talk have I ever not been honest about what I think will happen - especially in such a way that would be intended to deceive anyone into doing something. So that line af argument gets a tiresome, regardless I fully expect people to keep beating that dead horse. Dogmatic thinking will get you in trouble, maybe not today, maybe not tomorrow but in time. Those that have taken me at face value, thank you for your respect.

In summary:

- top called give or take suggested $3700 bottom
- revised bottom call to $4100
- relentless mockery all the way down to sub 4k, whoops!
- more detailed extrapolation of bottom based on first bounce and gox history suggesting the $2483 target
- 2 years of that pattern holding
- finally I acknowledge pattern is breaking down

What I did not predict was the extent to which tether would start printing USDT, which I suspect is probably a primary driver in this run. I think without that then price discovery would have played out as predicted and now would be the time to buy in for the next run (with the caveat that I doubt there would be one, given BTC utility is shot now compared to BSV and indeed all those damn alts that have profited so handsomely from core's butchering of the Bitcoin protocol).

Anyway I feel like trying to predict anything at the moment is a lottery with so many court cases up in the air and such tomfoolery in the market place where we go now is anyone's guess, so let's do it - guess the price on 19th Feb. I already chose $2483 so looks like I am going to be the furthest away

What do you all think? I'll collate guesses in this post. Deadline is 31st Jan 23:59:59 UTC

$2483

sgbett

You want us to pick a bottom correct?

24830 seems okay to me puts you off by a factor of ten Grin

I also changed the top to ? . since thread is now about the bottom