Yes, it will be a great match and could be 50/50 fight. I'm seeing a Danny Garcia type fight for Thurman, which he edged when they fought by a Split decision, but it was very close that there are fans who think that Garcia won that fight.
However, that was during Thurman's time, haven't been injured and still undefeated. He did make a comeback against a ballooned 140 lbs in Barrios and fought at 147 lbs. So Ugas might posed a different challenge if ever this two square in the ring and it could go to distance.
I could say Keith Thurman Enjoyed that fight, and that is the 1st fight that Danny Garcia has lost, but I think if these two would fight again, I think Thurman can chase those times that he is not fighting anymore, a few laps and a few rounds on the punching bag training is the only way for Keith Thurman and he will surely be back on shape in no time, for the Danny Garcia fight Thurman is in control of the fight and was dominating the shots but yeah his shots was not impactful for Garcia, and for him to win against Ugas he needs to keep on moving,
There was talk, but Danny Garcia has move to154 lbs already, and his father says that he can't make 147 lbs. But they have been calling for a rematch because he didn't think his son lost to Thurman. But then again, it seems that Keith is on a hiatus, yes there is the pandemic, but everyone is trying to get back at boxing and Keith seems to be taking a leave of absence again in boxing. So if he is potentially going back, it might be next year and it could be against Ugas and because that is a good fight in my opinion.