Quote from: Japinat on Today at 04:39:08 PM

I get that Ancajas chance is only 50%-60% because Martinez is also aggressive and knows his way how to control the fight, the main disadvantage of Ancajas that time is he is not on his 100% because of his situation and that made him so fatigue, and Martinez took advantage of it. That situation could be avoided but I think his camp didn't know what to do that's why it's good for him that he have his own nutritionist now. He only needed to meet the weight needed because after that I know he can defeat Martinez, dominantly.

On the betting side, I think Ancajas will be the underdog this time, so if that is the case then that will be an advantage for us.

If Ancajas meet the weight requirement without any problem, I can say his chance of winning is around 70% and up. He is able to absorb Martinez punches, he has know Martinez fighting style and there are lots of available strategies to counter Martinez and they are not that difficult to implement.
If Ancajas is in full condition, I would think that he has more chance of beating Martinez than the other way around.

Quote from: Baofeng on Today at 08:27:04 PM

^ He might be a slight underdog, but for me it's better if he will be a huge underdog here, so that it's a win-win situation for Ancajas supporters in terms of bet Grin

.

Of course, Ancajas will be labeled the underdog here because he has lost to Martinez on their previous fight. I would also love to see the odds having Ancajas to have a huge underdog label. And yes it is a win - win situation for the supporters of Ancajas in terms of the bet.

Quote from: Baofeng on Today at 08:27:04 PM

And maybe if he knows that he become the underdog here, it could added a extra motivation for him, some fuel to the fire and think that he really have to show up and be the champion again. A knock out win will be good. But if it doesn't come, and at the end of the fight he is declared the winner then nothing is going to affect on how we look at it. But it shouldn't be a boring fight (although Filipinos are not known to run, we are all warriors), and then we will see what will his next move is.

I think getting the belt back is enough motivation for him since it means redeeming himself and establishing his reign again in the said division. Nothing is more motivating than redeeming one self.